Official meteorological observations and model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, moderate northwest winds, and typical late-summer radiative heating under stable atmospheric pressure near 1016 hPa. Multiple station reports and hourly data show afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold, consistent with seasonal baselines around 29–31°C and the absence of heatwave or cooling advection patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified observational record, though minor resolution risk remains from station-specific microclimate differences or final quality-controlled adjustments by monitoring agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
30°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$27,168 交易量
$27,168 交易量
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$27,168 交易量
$27,168 交易量
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official meteorological observations and model consensus from the Israel Meteorological Service confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Tel Aviv on September 19, 2026, driven by clear to partly cloudy conditions, moderate northwest winds, and typical late-summer radiative heating under stable atmospheric pressure near 1016 hPa. Multiple station reports and hourly data show afternoon peaks reaching but not exceeding this threshold, consistent with seasonal baselines around 29–31°C and the absence of heatwave or cooling advection patterns. Trader consensus at near-100% implied probability reflects this verified observational record, though minor resolution risk remains from station-specific microclimate differences or final quality-controlled adjustments by monitoring agencies.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions