Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 24°C in Chengdu on August 21, 2026, under partly cloudy to rainy late-summer monsoon conditions with daytime highs of 30–33°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers suppress nocturnal radiative cooling while southeasterly flow advects warmer, moister air, aligning with climatological August lows of 22–24°C and supporting the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for exactly 24°C. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model agreement and real-time observations. An unexpected clearing trend or stronger northerly intrusion of cooler air could realistically push readings lower, though current patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日成都最低溫度？
8月21日成都最低溫度？
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$1,824 交易量
$1,824 交易量
2026-08-21
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$1,824 交易量
$1,824 交易量
2026-08-21
17°C or below
$197 交易量
No
18°C
$161 交易量
No
19°C
$211 交易量
No
20°C
$187 交易量
No
21°C
$187 交易量
No
22°C
$187 交易量
No
23°C
$140 交易量
No
24°C
$338 交易量
Yes
25°C
$25 交易量
No
26°C
$95 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$95 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 24°C in Chengdu on August 21, 2026, under partly cloudy to rainy late-summer monsoon conditions with daytime highs of 30–33°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers suppress nocturnal radiative cooling while southeasterly flow advects warmer, moister air, aligning with climatological August lows of 22–24°C and supporting the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for exactly 24°C. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model agreement and real-time observations. An unexpected clearing trend or stronger northerly intrusion of cooler air could realistically push readings lower, though current patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,824結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 24°C in Chengdu on August 21, 2026, under partly cloudy to rainy late-summer monsoon conditions with daytime highs of 30–33°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers suppress nocturnal radiative cooling while southeasterly flow advects warmer, moister air, aligning with climatological August lows of 22–24°C and supporting the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for exactly 24°C. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model agreement and real-time observations. An unexpected clearing trend or stronger northerly intrusion of cooler air could realistically push readings lower, though current patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,824結束日期
2026-08-21市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration project a minimum temperature near 24°C in Chengdu on August 21, 2026, under partly cloudy to rainy late-summer monsoon conditions with daytime highs of 30–33°C. Persistent cloud cover and showers suppress nocturnal radiative cooling while southeasterly flow advects warmer, moister air, aligning with climatological August lows of 22–24°C and supporting the market's overwhelming 99.4% implied probability for exactly 24°C. This consensus reflects aggregated trader assessment of model agreement and real-time observations. An unexpected clearing trend or stronger northerly intrusion of cooler air could realistically push readings lower, though current patterns make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions