**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's September 10 lowest temperature centers on the narrow contest between 27°C (54.5% implied probability) and 26°C (46.5%), with lower outcomes discounted due to persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Official IMD data and forecasts show a minimum near 26–27°C, consistent with high humidity (often 80–90%), partly cloudy to overcast skies, and scattered thundershower activity that traps heat near the surface. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the Indo-Gangetic plain, produce elevated overnight lows compared to drier periods. Recent observations and model guidance indicate the temperature bottomed around 26.6°C at key stations like Lucknow Airport, with hourly readings hovering in the 27–28°C range through the night before rising. The close split between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in final official recording thresholds, slight model variations in cloud/rain timing, and the exact timing of the daily minimum. Historical September baselines and current steering patterns support this range, with no strong signals for a sharper drop. Upcoming IMD updates or final daily summaries will likely resolve the market as traders weigh the last observational data against forecast consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日勒克瑙最低溫度?
27°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
$761 交易量
$761 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
27°C 100.0%
25°C 1.0%
21°C或以下 <1%
22°C <1%
$761 交易量
$761 交易量
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader sentiment for Lucknow's September 10 lowest temperature centers on the narrow contest between 27°C (54.5% implied probability) and 26°C (46.5%), with lower outcomes discounted due to persistent monsoon moisture and cloud cover limiting overnight radiative cooling.** Official IMD data and forecasts show a minimum near 26–27°C, consistent with high humidity (often 80–90%), partly cloudy to overcast skies, and scattered thundershower activity that traps heat near the surface. These conditions, typical for mid-September in the Indo-Gangetic plain, produce elevated overnight lows compared to drier periods. Recent observations and model guidance indicate the temperature bottomed around 26.6°C at key stations like Lucknow Airport, with hourly readings hovering in the 27–28°C range through the night before rising. The close split between 26°C and 27°C reflects genuine uncertainty in final official recording thresholds, slight model variations in cloud/rain timing, and the exact timing of the daily minimum. Historical September baselines and current steering patterns support this range, with no strong signals for a sharper drop. Upcoming IMD updates or final daily summaries will likely resolve the market as traders weigh the last observational data against forecast consensus.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions