Jamie Ager holds a 62% implied probability in the NC-11 race after Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee report on sexual harassment violations and a subsequent 413-2 censure vote. State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom secured the GOP nomination on August 10 and gained endorsements from President Trump and the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program, yet she entered the general election with under three months until November 3. Ager, who won the Democratic primary in March and raised over $3 million with substantial cash reserves, benefits from early momentum, district name recognition, and the disruption to Republican continuity in a seat rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by major forecasters. Balkcom’s first campaign ad in September and emphasis on her farming background highlight her efforts to close the gap in a compressed timeline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,862 交易量
$15,862 交易量
2026-11-03
Jamie Ager（民主黨）
62%
珍妮佛·巴爾克姆（共和黨）
37%
$15,862 交易量
$15,862 交易量
2026-11-03
Jamie Ager（民主黨）
$7,358 交易量
62%
珍妮佛·巴爾克姆（共和黨）
$8,504 交易量
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Ager holds a 62% implied probability in the NC-11 race after Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee report on sexual harassment violations and a subsequent 413-2 censure vote. State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom secured the GOP nomination on August 10 and gained endorsements from President Trump and the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program, yet she entered the general election with under three months until November 3. Ager, who won the Democratic primary in March and raised over $3 million with substantial cash reserves, benefits from early momentum, district name recognition, and the disruption to Republican continuity in a seat rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by major forecasters. Balkcom’s first campaign ad in September and emphasis on her farming background highlight her efforts to close the gap in a compressed timeline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
交易量
$15,862結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jamie Ager holds a 62% implied probability in the NC-11 race after Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee report on sexual harassment violations and a subsequent 413-2 censure vote. State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom secured the GOP nomination on August 10 and gained endorsements from President Trump and the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program, yet she entered the general election with under three months until November 3. Ager, who won the Democratic primary in March and raised over $3 million with substantial cash reserves, benefits from early momentum, district name recognition, and the disruption to Republican continuity in a seat rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by major forecasters. Balkcom’s first campaign ad in September and emphasis on her farming background highlight her efforts to close the gap in a compressed timeline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,862結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETJamie Ager holds a 62% implied probability in the NC-11 race after Republican incumbent Chuck Edwards withdrew in early August 2026 following a House Ethics Committee report on sexual harassment violations and a subsequent 413-2 censure vote. State Rep. Jennifer Balkcom secured the GOP nomination on August 10 and gained endorsements from President Trump and the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program, yet she entered the general election with under three months until November 3. Ager, who won the Democratic primary in March and raised over $3 million with substantial cash reserves, benefits from early momentum, district name recognition, and the disruption to Republican continuity in a seat rated Lean Republican or Toss-up by major forecasters. Balkcom’s first campaign ad in September and emphasis on her farming background highlight her efforts to close the gap in a compressed timeline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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