**Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Fable series drives the current market.** The company released Claude Fable 5 in June 2026 as a Mythos-class model with strong safeguards, followed by Fable 5.1 on September 1, 2026, which improved coding, agentic workflows, Terminal-Bench scores, and cache-read pricing by up to 75%. This pace, combined with competitive pressure from Z.ai’s open-weight GLM-5.2 overtaking Fable 5 on design and coding leaderboards at far lower cost, positions Anthropic as the clear leader for the next 5.2+ release. Traders weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated ability to ship frontier updates quickly against rivals’ potential to close gaps, while noting possible regulatory or safety-related delays on future Mythos-class variants.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-10-31
10 月 31 日
32%
12 月 31 日
60%
$0.00 交易量
10 月 31 日
$0 交易量
32%
12 月 31 日
$0 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Fable series drives the current market.** The company released Claude Fable 5 in June 2026 as a Mythos-class model with strong safeguards, followed by Fable 5.1 on September 1, 2026, which improved coding, agentic workflows, Terminal-Bench scores, and cache-read pricing by up to 75%. This pace, combined with competitive pressure from Z.ai’s open-weight GLM-5.2 overtaking Fable 5 on design and coding leaderboards at far lower cost, positions Anthropic as the clear leader for the next 5.2+ release. Traders weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated ability to ship frontier updates quickly against rivals’ potential to close gaps, while noting possible regulatory or safety-related delays on future Mythos-class variants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.**Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Fable series drives the current market.** The company released Claude Fable 5 in June 2026 as a Mythos-class model with strong safeguards, followed by Fable 5.1 on September 1, 2026, which improved coding, agentic workflows, Terminal-Bench scores, and cache-read pricing by up to 75%. This pace, combined with competitive pressure from Z.ai’s open-weight GLM-5.2 overtaking Fable 5 on design and coding leaderboards at far lower cost, positions Anthropic as the clear leader for the next 5.2+ release. Traders weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated ability to ship frontier updates quickly against rivals’ potential to close gaps, while noting possible regulatory or safety-related delays on future Mythos-class variants.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 8:11 PM ET**Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Fable series drives the current market.** The company released Claude Fable 5 in June 2026 as a Mythos-class model with strong safeguards, followed by Fable 5.1 on September 1, 2026, which improved coding, agentic workflows, Terminal-Bench scores, and cache-read pricing by up to 75%. This pace, combined with competitive pressure from Z.ai’s open-weight GLM-5.2 overtaking Fable 5 on design and coding leaderboards at far lower cost, positions Anthropic as the clear leader for the next 5.2+ release. Traders weigh Anthropic’s demonstrated ability to ship frontier updates quickly against rivals’ potential to close gaps, while noting possible regulatory or safety-related delays on future Mythos-class variants.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions