Anthropic’s June 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established the new Mythos-class tier above Opus, with superior cybersecurity reasoning and vulnerability discovery that triggered immediate U.S. government restrictions and a brief pullback of public access. Traders now focus on when safeguards and regulatory approvals will allow the next iteration, as September 30 leads implied probabilities amid ongoing Project Glasswing expansion and competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and Microsoft’s MAI-Cyber models that have already matched or exceeded Mythos benchmarks. Key swing factors include upcoming earnings calls, potential new safety evaluations, and any further agency directives that could accelerate or delay broader availability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
$88,418 交易量
2026-09-30
August 31
33%
September 30
65%
$88,418 交易量
August 31
$18,991 交易量
33%
September 30
$27,353 交易量
65%
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established the new Mythos-class tier above Opus, with superior cybersecurity reasoning and vulnerability discovery that triggered immediate U.S. government restrictions and a brief pullback of public access. Traders now focus on when safeguards and regulatory approvals will allow the next iteration, as September 30 leads implied probabilities amid ongoing Project Glasswing expansion and competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and Microsoft’s MAI-Cyber models that have already matched or exceeded Mythos benchmarks. Key swing factors include upcoming earnings calls, potential new safety evaluations, and any further agency directives that could accelerate or delay broader availability.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$88,418結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Anthropic’s June 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established the new Mythos-class tier above Opus, with superior cybersecurity reasoning and vulnerability discovery that triggered immediate U.S. government restrictions and a brief pullback of public access. Traders now focus on when safeguards and regulatory approvals will allow the next iteration, as September 30 leads implied probabilities amid ongoing Project Glasswing expansion and competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and Microsoft’s MAI-Cyber models that have already matched or exceeded Mythos benchmarks. Key swing factors include upcoming earnings calls, potential new safety evaluations, and any further agency directives that could accelerate or delay broader availability.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$88,418結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Jun 10, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s June 2026 launches of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 established the new Mythos-class tier above Opus, with superior cybersecurity reasoning and vulnerability discovery that triggered immediate U.S. government restrictions and a brief pullback of public access. Traders now focus on when safeguards and regulatory approvals will allow the next iteration, as September 30 leads implied probabilities amid ongoing Project Glasswing expansion and competitive pressure from OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 and Microsoft’s MAI-Cyber models that have already matched or exceeded Mythos benchmarks. Key swing factors include upcoming earnings calls, potential new safety evaluations, and any further agency directives that could accelerate or delay broader availability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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