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政治·全球選舉

保加利亞下任總理

Market icon
政治·全球選舉

保加利亞下任總理

魯門·拉德夫 87.8%

安德烈·久羅夫 4.9%

博伊科·鮑里索夫 3.7%

克魯姆·扎爾科夫 1.1%

Polymarket

$142,676 交易量

魯門·拉德夫 87.8%

安德烈·久羅夫 4.9%

博伊科·鮑里索夫 3.7%

克魯姆·扎爾科夫 1.1%

Polymarket

$142,676 交易量

魯門·拉德夫會在2026年國會選舉後成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

魯門·拉德夫

$47,508 交易量

88%

安德烈·久羅夫會在2026年議會選舉後成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

安德烈·久羅夫

$6,054 交易量

5%

在2026年議會選舉後，博伊科·鮑里索夫會成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

博伊科·鮑里索夫

$35,947 交易量

4%

克魯姆·扎爾科夫會在2026年議會選舉後成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

克魯姆·扎爾科夫

$6,155 交易量

1%

阿森·瓦西列夫會在2026年議會選舉後成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

阿森·瓦西列夫

$5,914 交易量

1%

在2026年國會選舉後，迪米塔爾·格拉夫切夫會成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

迪米塔爾·格拉夫切夫

$29,717 交易量

1%

在2026年國會選舉後，Delyan Peevski 會成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

Delyan Peevski

$2,649 交易量

<1%

在2026年議會選舉後，羅森·熱利亞茲科夫會成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

羅森·熱利亞茲科夫

$3,589 交易量

<1%

在2026年議會選舉後，科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪諾夫會成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

科斯塔丁·科斯塔迪諾夫

$3,066 交易量

<1%

尼科萊·登科夫會在2026年國會選舉後成為保加利亞的下一任總理嗎？ icon

尼科萊·登科夫

$2,077 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria alliance leads opinion polls at around 32% with a projected 90 seats ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth in five years—driving trader consensus at 87.8% implied probability for him as next prime minister. Radev resigned the presidency in January 2026 to launch the center-left grouping amid deadlock following Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov's December 2025 resignation after mass anti-corruption protests. Acting President Iliana Iotova appointed central banker Andrey Gyurov as caretaker prime minister, who has cracked down on vote-buying to ensure clean polls, reflected in his 4.9% odds. GERB leader Boyko Borissov trails at roughly half PB's support despite recent rallies, per 3.6% pricing, as coalition negotiations post-vote could tip the balance despite Radev's frontrunner status.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$142,676
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former President Rumen Radev's Progressive Bulgaria alliance leads opinion polls at around 32% with a projected 90 seats ahead of the April 19 snap parliamentary election—Bulgaria's eighth in five years—driving trader consensus at 87.8% implied probability for him as next prime minister. Radev resigned the presidency in January 2026 to launch the center-left grouping amid deadlock following Prime Minister Rosen Zhelyazkov's December 2025 resignation after mass anti-corruption protests. Acting President Iliana Iotova appointed central banker Andrey Gyurov as caretaker prime minister, who has cracked down on vote-buying to ensure clean polls, reflected in his 4.9% odds. GERB leader Boyko Borissov trails at roughly half PB's support despite recent rallies, per 3.6% pricing, as coalition negotiations post-vote could tip the balance despite Radev's frontrunner status.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$142,676
結束日期
2026-04-19
市場開放時間
Mar 13, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially sworn in as Prime Minister of Bulgaria following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is appointed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bulgaria; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"保加利亞下任總理" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "魯門·拉德夫" at 88%, followed by "安德烈·久羅夫" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "保加利亞下任總理" has generated $142.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "保加利亞下任總理," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "保加利亞下任總理" is "魯門·拉德夫" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "安德烈·久羅夫" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "保加利亞下任總理" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.