European Union sanctions, the unresolved sabotage damage to Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines since 2022, and the bloc’s formal roadmap to end all Russian pipeline gas imports by 2027 have produced near-certain trader consensus against reactivation before the deadline. Germany and other member states have completed diversification to LNG terminals and alternative suppliers, removing commercial incentives for repairs or recertification. A comprehensive Russia-Ukraine settlement that triggers broad sanctions relief, coupled with rapid repair agreements and EU policy reversal inside the resolution window, remains the principal pathway that could still shift probabilities, though structural and diplomatic barriers make such developments improbable in the near term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$151,405 交易量
$151,405 交易量
2026-12-31
$151,405 交易量
$151,405 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
European Union sanctions, the unresolved sabotage damage to Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines since 2022, and the bloc’s formal roadmap to end all Russian pipeline gas imports by 2027 have produced near-certain trader consensus against reactivation before the deadline. Germany and other member states have completed diversification to LNG terminals and alternative suppliers, removing commercial incentives for repairs or recertification. A comprehensive Russia-Ukraine settlement that triggers broad sanctions relief, coupled with rapid repair agreements and EU policy reversal inside the resolution window, remains the principal pathway that could still shift probabilities, though structural and diplomatic barriers make such developments improbable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$151,405結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
European Union sanctions, the unresolved sabotage damage to Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines since 2022, and the bloc’s formal roadmap to end all Russian pipeline gas imports by 2027 have produced near-certain trader consensus against reactivation before the deadline. Germany and other member states have completed diversification to LNG terminals and alternative suppliers, removing commercial incentives for repairs or recertification. A comprehensive Russia-Ukraine settlement that triggers broad sanctions relief, coupled with rapid repair agreements and EU policy reversal inside the resolution window, remains the principal pathway that could still shift probabilities, though structural and diplomatic barriers make such developments improbable in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$151,405結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...European Union sanctions, the unresolved sabotage damage to Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines since 2022, and the bloc’s formal roadmap to end all Russian pipeline gas imports by 2027 have produced near-certain trader consensus against reactivation before the deadline. Germany and other member states have completed diversification to LNG terminals and alternative suppliers, removing commercial incentives for repairs or recertification. A comprehensive Russia-Ukraine settlement that triggers broad sanctions relief, coupled with rapid repair agreements and EU policy reversal inside the resolution window, remains the principal pathway that could still shift probabilities, though structural and diplomatic barriers make such developments improbable in the near term.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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