Traders assign a 97.5% probability to “No” on the Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027 because the pipelines remain physically compromised by the 2022 explosions, require extensive repairs that have not begun, and face an EU legal framework mandating the phase-out of all Russian gas imports by late 2027. Europe has diversified supply sources, Germany has not recertified Nord Stream 2, and active sanctions plus the unresolved Russia-Ukraine conflict block commercial operations. Speculation around possible U.S.-Russia discussions has not produced agreements, certifications, or repair timelines capable of meeting the deadline. Even rapid political breakthroughs would still confront infrastructure, regulatory, and investment hurdles that make reversal before 2027 improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$151,405 交易量
$151,405 交易量
$151,405 交易量
$151,405 交易量
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91..."Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97.5% probability to “No” on the Nord Stream pipelines resuming gas flows before 2027 because the pipelines remain physically compromised by the 2022 explosions, require extensive repairs that have not begun, and face an EU legal framework mandating the phase-out of all Russian gas imports by late 2027. Europe has diversified supply sources, Germany has not recertified Nord Stream 2, and active sanctions plus the unresolved Russia-Ukraine conflict block commercial operations. Speculation around possible U.S.-Russia discussions has not produced agreements, certifications, or repair timelines capable of meeting the deadline. Even rapid political breakthroughs would still confront infrastructure, regulatory, and investment hurdles that make reversal before 2027 improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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