Ongoing geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with 2022 sabotage damage that left three of four Nord Stream lines inoperable, underpin the 97.5% trader consensus against reactivation before 2027. Europe has diversified supplies through LNG terminals and alternative pipelines, while the EU roadmap targets a full end to Russian pipeline gas imports by April 2027 and Germany has moved to block any restart. Only preservation work has occurred on intact sections amid unresolved legal certification, sanctions, and lack of German or EU authorization as of mid-2026. A breakthrough Ukraine peace agreement enabling rapid repairs, regulatory approvals, and diplomatic guarantees remains the primary scenario that could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$151,558 交易量
$151,558 交易量
2026-12-31
$151,558 交易量
$151,558 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with 2022 sabotage damage that left three of four Nord Stream lines inoperable, underpin the 97.5% trader consensus against reactivation before 2027. Europe has diversified supplies through LNG terminals and alternative pipelines, while the EU roadmap targets a full end to Russian pipeline gas imports by April 2027 and Germany has moved to block any restart. Only preservation work has occurred on intact sections amid unresolved legal certification, sanctions, and lack of German or EU authorization as of mid-2026. A breakthrough Ukraine peace agreement enabling rapid repairs, regulatory approvals, and diplomatic guarantees remains the primary scenario that could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$151,558結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ongoing geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with 2022 sabotage damage that left three of four Nord Stream lines inoperable, underpin the 97.5% trader consensus against reactivation before 2027. Europe has diversified supplies through LNG terminals and alternative pipelines, while the EU roadmap targets a full end to Russian pipeline gas imports by April 2027 and Germany has moved to block any restart. Only preservation work has occurred on intact sections amid unresolved legal certification, sanctions, and lack of German or EU authorization as of mid-2026. A breakthrough Ukraine peace agreement enabling rapid repairs, regulatory approvals, and diplomatic guarantees remains the primary scenario that could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$151,558結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with 2022 sabotage damage that left three of four Nord Stream lines inoperable, underpin the 97.5% trader consensus against reactivation before 2027. Europe has diversified supplies through LNG terminals and alternative pipelines, while the EU roadmap targets a full end to Russian pipeline gas imports by April 2027 and Germany has moved to block any restart. Only preservation work has occurred on intact sections amid unresolved legal certification, sanctions, and lack of German or EU authorization as of mid-2026. A breakthrough Ukraine peace agreement enabling rapid repairs, regulatory approvals, and diplomatic guarantees remains the primary scenario that could still shift the outcome before the deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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