The Piauí Senate race for two seats remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls from AtlasIntel and others showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in first-preference voting while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) trade positions in the battle for second. A crowded field of more than a dozen pre-candidates fragments support and keeps margins tight among the top contenders, as voters weigh incumbency records, party alliances, and regional priorities. Trader consensus on second place reflects this polling volatility and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that would consolidate preferences. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaigning, coalition negotiations, or additional surveys tracking second-vote preferences in the coming weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬塞洛·卡斯特羅 42%
佩德羅·勞倫蒂諾 42%
齊羅·諾蓋拉 42%
雅爾德尼亞·貝澤拉 42%

馬塞洛·卡斯特羅
42%

佩德羅·勞倫蒂諾
42%

齊羅·諾蓋拉
42%

雅爾德尼亞·貝澤拉
42%

安東尼奧·若澤·利拉
41%

Paulo Roberto少校
41%

瑪麗亞·瑪達萊娜·努內斯
41%

傳教士埃萬德羅·克拉維羅
41%

法蘭西納爾多·雷奧
41%

牧師塞納
41%

托印霍·杜弗蘭戈
41%

Jorge Lopes
40%

蒂亞戈·儒尼奎拉
37%

胡里奧·塞薩爾
36%

安東尼奧·巴羅斯
36%

Cloves José
36%

丹尼爾·羅查
36%

Irmão Evandro Marques
36%

Dionisio Carvalho
36%

亞歷山大·馬里亞諾
33%
馬塞洛·卡斯特羅 42%
佩德羅·勞倫蒂諾 42%
齊羅·諾蓋拉 42%
雅爾德尼亞·貝澤拉 42%

馬塞洛·卡斯特羅
42%

佩德羅·勞倫蒂諾
42%

齊羅·諾蓋拉
42%

雅爾德尼亞·貝澤拉
42%

安東尼奧·若澤·利拉
41%

Paulo Roberto少校
41%

瑪麗亞·瑪達萊娜·努內斯
41%

傳教士埃萬德羅·克拉維羅
41%

法蘭西納爾多·雷奧
41%

牧師塞納
41%

托印霍·杜弗蘭戈
41%

Jorge Lopes
40%

蒂亞戈·儒尼奎拉
37%

胡里奧·塞薩爾
36%

安東尼奧·巴羅斯
36%

Cloves José
36%

丹尼爾·羅查
36%

Irmão Evandro Marques
36%

Dionisio Carvalho
36%

亞歷山大·馬里亞諾
33%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Piauí Senate race for two seats remains fluid ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent July polls from AtlasIntel and others showing Marcelo Castro (MDB) holding a narrow lead in first-preference voting while Ciro Nogueira (PP) and Júlio César (PSD) trade positions in the battle for second. A crowded field of more than a dozen pre-candidates fragments support and keeps margins tight among the top contenders, as voters weigh incumbency records, party alliances, and regional priorities. Trader consensus on second place reflects this polling volatility and the absence of decisive late-campaign momentum or major endorsements that would consolidate preferences. Further separation could emerge from intensified campaigning, coalition negotiations, or additional surveys tracking second-vote preferences in the coming weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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