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icon for 西班牙提前選舉是由… ?

西班牙提前選舉是由… ?

icon for 西班牙提前選舉是由… ?

西班牙提前選舉是由… ?

$171,529 交易量

2025-12-31
Polymarket

$171,529 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$78,031 交易量

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has consistently stated his commitment to completing the full legislative term, scheduling Spain’s next general election for 2027 rather than calling a snap vote. Recent regional elections in Andalusia, Aragón, and other areas have shown gains for the conservative Partido Popular and Vox, reflecting a broader rightward shift in voter sentiment amid ongoing corruption investigations involving PSOE figures. Fragile parliamentary support from parties such as Junts, combined with negotiations over the 2026 General State Budget, continues to generate speculation about an early dissolution, though Sánchez has rejected such calls. Traders monitor these coalition dynamics and any shifts in regional polling as key indicators of whether procedural or political pressures could force an earlier contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$171,529
結束日期
2025-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has consistently stated his commitment to completing the full legislative term, scheduling Spain’s next general election for 2027 rather than calling a snap vote. Recent regional elections in Andalusia, Aragón, and other areas have shown gains for the conservative Partido Popular and Vox, reflecting a broader rightward shift in voter sentiment amid ongoing corruption investigations involving PSOE figures. Fragile parliamentary support from parties such as Junts, combined with negotiations over the 2026 General State Budget, continues to generate speculation about an early dissolution, though Sánchez has rejected such calls. Traders monitor these coalition dynamics and any shifts in regional polling as key indicators of whether procedural or political pressures could force an earlier contest.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$171,529
結束日期
2025-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 22, 2025, 11:43 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between October 21, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"西班牙提前選舉是由… ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年6月30日" at 3%, followed by "2025年12月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 3¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 3% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "西班牙提前選舉是由… ?" has generated $171.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "西班牙提前選舉是由… ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "西班牙提前選舉是由… ?" is "2026年6月30日" at just 3%, with "2025年12月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "西班牙提前選舉是由… ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.