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icon for Taylor Swift “零號病人”第一週串流?

Taylor Swift “零號病人”第一週串流?

icon for Taylor Swift “零號病人”第一週串流?

Taylor Swift “零號病人”第一週串流?

最新
2026-10-02
Polymarket

$0 交易量

Polymarket

五千萬以上

$0 交易量

75%

六千萬+

$0 交易量

50%

7千萬以上

$0 交易量

50%

8000萬以上

$0 交易量

50%

9000萬+

$0 交易量

50%

1億+

$0 交易量

50%

"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Taylor Swift’s surprise September 22 announcement of the “Patient Zero” single—dropping September 25 as the lead track from the four-song “The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore” collection—has ignited immediate pre-save and physical pre-order campaigns that typically translate into massive opening-day streaming. The track follows the 2025 album’s record 681 million first-week streams and multiple Hot 100 No. 1s, with Swift’s fanbase historically delivering dominant Spotify debuts even for standalone singles. Release timing just before her MTV VMAs Artistic Director honor on September 27 adds further promotional lift. Traders are watching for how quickly cumulative global streams through October 1 clear the 50–100 million brackets, given Swift’s unmatched mobilization power and the absence of major competing releases that week.

"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.

If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-02
市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Taylor Swift’s surprise September 22 announcement of the “Patient Zero” single—dropping September 25 as the lead track from the four-song “The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore” collection—has ignited immediate pre-save and physical pre-order campaigns that typically translate into massive opening-day streaming. The track follows the 2025 album’s record 681 million first-week streams and multiple Hot 100 No. 1s, with Swift’s fanbase historically delivering dominant Spotify debuts even for standalone singles. Release timing just before her MTV VMAs Artistic Director honor on September 27 adds further promotional lift. Traders are watching for how quickly cumulative global streams through October 1 clear the 50–100 million brackets, given Swift’s unmatched mobilization power and the absence of major competing releases that week.

"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead.

If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
"Patient Zero" (Taylor Swift) releases September 25, 2026 as part of "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore." This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Patient Zero"'s cumulative global Spotify streams from its release date (September 25, 2026) through the end of its first week (October 1, 2026) are greater than or equal to the specified amount, as displayed at 12:00 PM ET on October 2, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify's official charts. If this resolution source is unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g. Billboard, Luminate) may be used instead. If there is no reliable streaming figure available by October 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$0
結束日期
2026-10-02
市場開放時間
Sep 23, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taylor Swift “零號病人”第一週串流?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "五千萬以上" at 99%, followed by "六千萬+" at 98%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taylor Swift “零號病人”第一週串流?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 23, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taylor Swift “零號病人”第一週串流?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This market was recently created and has not yet received its first trade. Be the first to set the opening odds by placing a trade, or bookmark this page to check back as the market develops.

The resolution rules for "Taylor Swift “零號病人”第一週串流?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.