Recent interagency clashes between Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) and domestic security service (SBU) in early September 2026, including a Kyiv shootout tied to an alleged assassination plot, underscore internal power struggles within security structures during the ongoing conflict with Russia. These events, alongside earlier 2026 cabinet reshuffles, protests over defense leadership changes, and corruption investigations implicating figures close to President Zelenskyy, have fueled speculation about elite tensions but no confirmed coordinated coup attempt meeting market criteria. Trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable execution of such plans, historical precedent of foiled plots, and the stabilizing effect of martial law on institutional continuity, though scheduled political or military developments could still introduce volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$169,817 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
6%
$169,817 交易量
12月31日
$151,981 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent interagency clashes between Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) and domestic security service (SBU) in early September 2026, including a Kyiv shootout tied to an alleged assassination plot, underscore internal power struggles within security structures during the ongoing conflict with Russia. These events, alongside earlier 2026 cabinet reshuffles, protests over defense leadership changes, and corruption investigations implicating figures close to President Zelenskyy, have fueled speculation about elite tensions but no confirmed coordinated coup attempt meeting market criteria. Trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable execution of such plans, historical precedent of foiled plots, and the stabilizing effect of martial law on institutional continuity, though scheduled political or military developments could still introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
交易量
$169,817結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Recent interagency clashes between Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) and domestic security service (SBU) in early September 2026, including a Kyiv shootout tied to an alleged assassination plot, underscore internal power struggles within security structures during the ongoing conflict with Russia. These events, alongside earlier 2026 cabinet reshuffles, protests over defense leadership changes, and corruption investigations implicating figures close to President Zelenskyy, have fueled speculation about elite tensions but no confirmed coordinated coup attempt meeting market criteria. Trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable execution of such plans, historical precedent of foiled plots, and the stabilizing effect of martial law on institutional continuity, though scheduled political or military developments could still introduce volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$169,817結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETRecent interagency clashes between Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) and domestic security service (SBU) in early September 2026, including a Kyiv shootout tied to an alleged assassination plot, underscore internal power struggles within security structures during the ongoing conflict with Russia. These events, alongside earlier 2026 cabinet reshuffles, protests over defense leadership changes, and corruption investigations implicating figures close to President Zelenskyy, have fueled speculation about elite tensions but no confirmed coordinated coup attempt meeting market criteria. Trader consensus reflects the absence of verifiable execution of such plans, historical precedent of foiled plots, and the stabilizing effect of martial law on institutional continuity, though scheduled political or military developments could still introduce volatility.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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