Mark Warner's position as a three-term incumbent with a strong fundraising edge and consistent double-digit leads in available polling has anchored trader consensus at 95.5% for his re-election on November 3. Virginia's federal voting patterns and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic further support this outlook ahead of the general election. Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the Republican primary in August, faces structural disadvantages including lower name recognition and limited campaign resources. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,148 交易量
$23,148 交易量
2026-11-02
馬克·華納（民主黨）
96%
Bert Mizusawa（共和黨）
5%
$23,148 交易量
$23,148 交易量
2026-11-02
馬克·華納（民主黨）
$15,894 交易量
96%
Bert Mizusawa（共和黨）
$7,254 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner's position as a three-term incumbent with a strong fundraising edge and consistent double-digit leads in available polling has anchored trader consensus at 95.5% for his re-election on November 3. Virginia's federal voting patterns and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic further support this outlook ahead of the general election. Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the Republican primary in August, faces structural disadvantages including lower name recognition and limited campaign resources. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$23,148結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mark Warner's position as a three-term incumbent with a strong fundraising edge and consistent double-digit leads in available polling has anchored trader consensus at 95.5% for his re-election on November 3. Virginia's federal voting patterns and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic further support this outlook ahead of the general election. Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the Republican primary in August, faces structural disadvantages including lower name recognition and limited campaign resources. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$23,148結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETMark Warner's position as a three-term incumbent with a strong fundraising edge and consistent double-digit leads in available polling has anchored trader consensus at 95.5% for his re-election on November 3. Virginia's federal voting patterns and race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic further support this outlook ahead of the general election. Bert Mizusawa, a retired Army major general who won the Republican primary in August, faces structural disadvantages including lower name recognition and limited campaign resources. A late-breaking scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could narrow the gap, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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