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icon for 誰會在2027年之前被捕？
政治·James Comey

誰會在2027年之前被捕？

icon for 誰會在2027年之前被捕？
政治·James Comey

誰會在2027年之前被捕？

$404,998 交易量

Polymarket

$404,998 交易量

Polymarket

安東尼·福奇

$160,418 交易量

10%

約翰·布倫南

$22,244 交易量

21%

何塞·路易斯·羅德里格斯·薩帕特羅

$23,157 交易量

11%

亞當·希夫

$16,570 交易量

3%

巴拉克·歐巴馬

$29,276 交易量

2%

詹姆斯·科米

$9,814 交易量

6%

馬哈茂德·哈利勒

$1,328 交易量

20%

詹姆斯·克拉珀

$6,774 交易量

12%

Letitia James

$3,047 交易量

10%

希拉蕊·柯林頓

$25,824 交易量

3%

比爾·柯林頓

$2,616 交易量

1%

Loretta Lynch

$2,411 交易量

9%

蘇珊·賴斯

$304 交易量

9%

Candace Owens

$268 交易量

7%

加文·紐森

$39,300 交易量

3%

本雅明·內塔尼亞胡

$1,936 交易量

5%

約翰·克里

$503 交易量

2%

Pam Bondi

$2,179 交易量

2%

湯姆·霍曼

$41,026 交易量

3%

Kash Patel

$598 交易量

2%

布蘭登·約翰遜

$3,284 交易量

13%

莉薩·庫克

$3,845 交易量

3%

李俊錫

$794 交易量

11%

喬·拜登

$7,481 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in this multi-outcome market centers on individuals facing active or anticipated legal exposure through U.S. investigations, congressional probes, or foreign proceedings, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026. Recent catalysts include ongoing cases against former intelligence officials, enforcement actions involving activists such as Mahmoud Khalil amid immigration proceedings, and testimony developments like Anthony Fauci's July 2026 Senate appearance. Structural factors such as constitutional immunity for sitting leaders, statutes of limitations, and evidentiary thresholds limit near-term arrest probabilities for most listed figures, while scheduled court rulings and potential indictments through year-end remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$404,998
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus in this multi-outcome market centers on individuals facing active or anticipated legal exposure through U.S. investigations, congressional probes, or foreign proceedings, with resolution tied to any qualifying arrest or detention by December 31, 2026. Recent catalysts include ongoing cases against former intelligence officials, enforcement actions involving activists such as Mahmoud Khalil amid immigration proceedings, and testimony developments like Anthony Fauci's July 2026 Senate appearance. Structural factors such as constitutional immunity for sitting leaders, statutes of limitations, and evidentiary thresholds limit near-term arrest probabilities for most listed figures, while scheduled court rulings and potential indictments through year-end remain the primary variables that could shift implied probabilities before the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$404,998
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

結算方

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"誰會在2027年之前被捕？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "約翰·布倫南" at 21%, followed by "馬哈茂德·哈利勒" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "誰會在2027年之前被捕？" has generated $405K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "誰會在2027年之前被捕？," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "誰會在2027年之前被捕？" is "約翰·布倫南" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "馬哈茂德·哈利勒" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "誰會在2027年之前被捕？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.