Michigan voters will decide the automatic constitutional convention question (Proposal 1) on the November 2026 ballot under a provision of the 1963 Constitution that requires the issue every 16 years. Historical precedent strongly favors rejection, with prior votes defeated by wide margins of 67–77 percent in 1978, 1994, and 2010. Organized opposition has already emerged from groups including the Michigan Education Association, which launched a campaign highlighting risks to public education funding, collective bargaining, and related provisions if a convention were called. No comparable statewide effort supporting approval has surfaced, and the question remains a low-visibility procedural item amid broader midterm contests. These factors align with trader consensus assigning a high probability that the measure will fail again.