Michigan voters will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under an automatic 16-year cycle provision in the state constitution. Historical precedent shows consistent rejection of the measure, with “no” votes averaging over 70 percent in 1978, 1994, and 2010. A broad coalition of education, labor, business, and democracy organizations has mobilized against the proposal, citing risks to public schools, collective bargaining, term limits, and redistricting. No recent polling indicates meaningful voter support for calling a convention, and campaign activity remains limited ahead of the midterm ballot. These factors have produced trader consensus that the measure will fail, consistent with prior cycles where voters favored retaining the existing 1963 framework.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
7% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-02
是
7% 機率
最新
最新
2026-11-02
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under an automatic 16-year cycle provision in the state constitution. Historical precedent shows consistent rejection of the measure, with “no” votes averaging over 70 percent in 1978, 1994, and 2010. A broad coalition of education, labor, business, and democracy organizations has mobilized against the proposal, citing risks to public schools, collective bargaining, term limits, and redistricting. No recent polling indicates meaningful voter support for calling a convention, and campaign activity remains limited ahead of the midterm ballot. These factors have produced trader consensus that the measure will fail, consistent with prior cycles where voters favored retaining the existing 1963 framework.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
市場開放時間： Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$7,320結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Michigan voters will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under an automatic 16-year cycle provision in the state constitution. Historical precedent shows consistent rejection of the measure, with “no” votes averaging over 70 percent in 1978, 1994, and 2010. A broad coalition of education, labor, business, and democracy organizations has mobilized against the proposal, citing risks to public schools, collective bargaining, term limits, and redistricting. No recent polling indicates meaningful voter support for calling a convention, and campaign activity remains limited ahead of the midterm ballot. These factors have produced trader consensus that the measure will fail, consistent with prior cycles where voters favored retaining the existing 1963 framework.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
交易量
$7,320結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under an automatic 16-year cycle provision in the state constitution. Historical precedent shows consistent rejection of the measure, with “no” votes averaging over 70 percent in 1978, 1994, and 2010. A broad coalition of education, labor, business, and democracy organizations has mobilized against the proposal, citing risks to public schools, collective bargaining, term limits, and redistricting. No recent polling indicates meaningful voter support for calling a convention, and campaign activity remains limited ahead of the midterm ballot. These factors have produced trader consensus that the measure will fail, consistent with prior cycles where voters favored retaining the existing 1963 framework.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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