Voters in Michigan will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under an automatic ballot referral. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 93.5% reflects Michigan’s history of decisive defeats for similar measures in 1978, 1994, and 2010, with no-vote margins ranging from 67% to 77%. Limited bipartisan legislative backing, primarily from Republican leaders, has produced no organized yes campaign or polling surge as of early August 2026. In contrast, a cross-partisan opposition coalition and unions have mobilized early against the prospect of broad revisions to provisions on education, redistricting, and term limits. Absent a major late catalyst, the pattern of voter caution sustains the current implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
最新
最新
2026-11-03
是
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Voters in Michigan will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under an automatic ballot referral. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 93.5% reflects Michigan’s history of decisive defeats for similar measures in 1978, 1994, and 2010, with no-vote margins ranging from 67% to 77%. Limited bipartisan legislative backing, primarily from Republican leaders, has produced no organized yes campaign or polling surge as of early August 2026. In contrast, a cross-partisan opposition coalition and unions have mobilized early against the prospect of broad revisions to provisions on education, redistricting, and term limits. Absent a major late catalyst, the pattern of voter caution sustains the current implied probability.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
市場開放時間： Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
交易量
$7,198結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).Voters in Michigan will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under an automatic ballot referral. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 93.5% reflects Michigan’s history of decisive defeats for similar measures in 1978, 1994, and 2010, with no-vote margins ranging from 67% to 77%. Limited bipartisan legislative backing, primarily from Republican leaders, has produced no organized yes campaign or polling surge as of early August 2026. In contrast, a cross-partisan opposition coalition and unions have mobilized early against the prospect of broad revisions to provisions on education, redistricting, and term limits. Absent a major late catalyst, the pattern of voter caution sustains the current implied probability.
Michigan voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a measure which, if passed, would call a state constitutional convention to rewrite the state constitution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question passes according to Michigan electoral procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the Michigan Constitutional Convention Question is removed from the 2026 midterm election ballot in Michigan, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the state of Michigan, specifically the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos).
交易量
$7,198結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Voters in Michigan will decide on November 3, 2026, whether to convene a constitutional convention under an automatic ballot referral. Trader consensus favoring rejection at 93.5% reflects Michigan’s history of decisive defeats for similar measures in 1978, 1994, and 2010, with no-vote margins ranging from 67% to 77%. Limited bipartisan legislative backing, primarily from Republican leaders, has produced no organized yes campaign or polling surge as of early August 2026. In contrast, a cross-partisan opposition coalition and unions have mobilized early against the prospect of broad revisions to provisions on education, redistricting, and term limits. Absent a major late catalyst, the pattern of voter caution sustains the current implied probability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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