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政治·文化

特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？

Market icon
政治·文化

特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？

$138,111 交易量

2026-04-15
Polymarket

$138,111 交易量

Polymarket

4月16日

$4,919 交易量

91%

4月17日

$8,909 交易量

91%

4月18日

$4,837 交易量

83%

4月19日

$434 交易量

81%

4月20日

$1,015 交易量

73%

4月21日

$6,070 交易量

82%

4月22日

$3,113 交易量

83%

4月23日

$7,676 交易量

86%

4月24日

$5,872 交易量

81%

4月25日

$4,898 交易量

84%

4月26日

$2,220 交易量

76%

4月27日

$5,907 交易量

79%

4月28日

$394 交易量

76%

4月29日

$3,608 交易量

80%

4月30日

$441 交易量

82%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of publicly insulting political opponents, former aides, and critics via X posts, Truth Social, rallies, and interviews—using nicknames like "Sleepy Joe," "Lyin' Kamala," or terms such as "loser," "lowlife," and "dumb"—drives trader consensus on this market, reflecting his combative rhetoric as 47th president. No notable public insults have occurred in the past 30 days through mid-April 2026, with his April 2 primetime address on Iran tensions describing new leaders mildly as "less radical and more reasonable," signaling potential restraint amid foreign policy focus. Bettors track upcoming campaign events, press conferences, or social media for escalation, given historical base rates of frequent attacks during politically charged periods.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$138,111
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump's longstanding pattern of publicly insulting political opponents, former aides, and critics via X posts, Truth Social, rallies, and interviews—using nicknames like "Sleepy Joe," "Lyin' Kamala," or terms such as "loser," "lowlife," and "dumb"—drives trader consensus on this market, reflecting his combative rhetoric as 47th president. No notable public insults have occurred in the past 30 days through mid-April 2026, with his April 2 primetime address on Iran tensions describing new leaders mildly as "less radical and more reasonable," signaling potential restraint amid foreign policy focus. Bettors track upcoming campaign events, press conferences, or social media for escalation, given historical base rates of frequent attacks during politically charged periods.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.

A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.

Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$138,111
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提議結果: 是

無爭議

最終結果: 是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4月11日" at 100%, followed by "4月12日" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？" has generated $138.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？" is "4月11日" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "4月12日" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "特朗普是否會在……上公開侮辱某人？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.