Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?

80%

↑4.40%

$533 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

Ends 26 天內

Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

69%

No Bond chosen

$2M 交易量

$126K Liq.

16

Ends 3 個月內

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

6%

$10.0K 交易量

$20.6K Liq.

6

Ends 9 個月內

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

4%

$62.9K 交易量

$25.3K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

SBF released from custody in 2026?

SBF released from custody in 2026?

10%

$310K 交易量

$37.8K Liq.

1

Ends 9 個月內

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

6%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$10.6K Liq.

29

Ends 2 個月前

US defaults on debt by 2027?

US defaults on debt by 2027?

5%

$14.7K 交易量

$26.6K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

7%

$3.4K 交易量

$6.3K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

15%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$18.8K Liq.

57

Ends 2 個月前

NJ-11 Special Election Winner

NJ-11 Special Election Winner

93%

Analilia Mejia

$2.9K 交易量

$18.3K Liq.

Ends 12 天內

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year

14%

Sean Johnson

$20.5K 交易量

$1.3K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

Will SOFR hit __ in April?

97%

↓3.64%

$2.7K 交易量

$3.1K Liq.

Ends 26 天內

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

Who will Trump announce as next Attorney General?

83%

Eric Schmitt

$95.3K 交易量

$81.1K today

$142K Liq.

6

Ends 3 個月內

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

76%

Kash Patel

$781K 交易量

$214K Liq.

Ends 9 個月內

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?

13%

$282K 交易量

$23.8K Liq.

43

Ends 9 個月內

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

84%

50

$16.2K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

2

Ends 9 個月內

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

82%

↓ 0.0014

$95.5K 交易量

$12.4K Liq.

2

Ends 9 個月內

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

50%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$13.2K Liq.

108

Ends 3 個月內

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

35%

December 31, 2026

$439K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

27

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

73%

Not revealed in 2026

$10.9K 交易量

$33.5K Liq.

5

Ends 9 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 債券.

Polymarket currently hosts 124 active markets for 債券 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will the 10-year treasury hit __ in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? ”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 14% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 債券 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.