Recent special election swings favoring Democrats, combined with President Trump's net-negative approval ratings and persistent economic concerns over costs and inflation, have sustained opposition mobilization while challenging Republican base turnout in an off-year cycle. Historical midterm participation hovers near 47-50 percent of eligible voters, with educated and anti-incumbent cohorts showing stronger engagement patterns than less-attached groups. Youth self-reported intent remains elevated near 2024 presidential levels, yet overall uncertainty around campaign intensity, early voting access, and late-cycle developments keeps the leading 115-125 million vote bins closely priced. Competitive House districts and demographic turnout differentials could widen separation if enthusiasm gaps materialize before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于1.2亿-1.25亿 24%
1.15亿-1.2亿 21%
1.10亿-1.15亿 12%
1.25亿-1.3亿 9%
$21,295 交易量
$21,295 交易量
2026-11-03
少于8500万
5%
8500万-9000万
1%
9000万-9500万
1%
9500万-1亿
2%
1亿-1.05亿
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
8%
1.10亿-1.15亿
12%
1.15亿-1.2亿
21%
1.2亿-1.25亿
24%
1.25亿-1.3亿
9%
1.3亿+
6%
1.2亿-1.25亿 24%
1.15亿-1.2亿 21%
1.10亿-1.15亿 12%
1.25亿-1.3亿 9%
$21,295 交易量
$21,295 交易量
2026-11-03
少于8500万
$500 交易量
5%
8500万-9000万
$587 交易量
1%
9000万-9500万
$1,699 交易量
1%
9500万-1亿
$355 交易量
2%
1亿-1.05亿
$890 交易量
4%
1.05亿-1.1亿
$915 交易量
8%
1.10亿-1.15亿
$3,578 交易量
12%
1.15亿-1.2亿
$3,937 交易量
21%
1.2亿-1.25亿
$6,383 交易量
24%
1.25亿-1.3亿
$1,686 交易量
9%
1.3亿+
$766 交易量
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent special election swings favoring Democrats, combined with President Trump's net-negative approval ratings and persistent economic concerns over costs and inflation, have sustained opposition mobilization while challenging Republican base turnout in an off-year cycle. Historical midterm participation hovers near 47-50 percent of eligible voters, with educated and anti-incumbent cohorts showing stronger engagement patterns than less-attached groups. Youth self-reported intent remains elevated near 2024 presidential levels, yet overall uncertainty around campaign intensity, early voting access, and late-cycle developments keeps the leading 115-125 million vote bins closely priced. Competitive House districts and demographic turnout differentials could widen separation if enthusiasm gaps materialize before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
市场开放时间： Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
交易量
$21,295结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent special election swings favoring Democrats, combined with President Trump's net-negative approval ratings and persistent economic concerns over costs and inflation, have sustained opposition mobilization while challenging Republican base turnout in an off-year cycle. Historical midterm participation hovers near 47-50 percent of eligible voters, with educated and anti-incumbent cohorts showing stronger engagement patterns than less-attached groups. Youth self-reported intent remains elevated near 2024 presidential levels, yet overall uncertainty around campaign intensity, early voting access, and late-cycle developments keeps the leading 115-125 million vote bins closely priced. Competitive House districts and demographic turnout differentials could widen separation if enthusiasm gaps materialize before November.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
交易量
$21,295结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent special election swings favoring Democrats, combined with President Trump's net-negative approval ratings and persistent economic concerns over costs and inflation, have sustained opposition mobilization while challenging Republican base turnout in an off-year cycle. Historical midterm participation hovers near 47-50 percent of eligible voters, with educated and anti-incumbent cohorts showing stronger engagement patterns than less-attached groups. Youth self-reported intent remains elevated near 2024 presidential levels, yet overall uncertainty around campaign intensity, early voting access, and late-cycle developments keeps the leading 115-125 million vote bins closely priced. Competitive House districts and demographic turnout differentials could widen separation if enthusiasm gaps materialize before November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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