Skip to main content

如需在美国交易,请访问 polymarket.us

icon for 12月31日的第三大富豪?

12月31日的第三大富豪?

icon for 12月31日的第三大富豪?

12月31日的第三大富豪?

谢尔盖·布林 42%

杰夫·贝索斯 37.1%

黄仁勋 35.5%

马克·扎克伯格 30.1%

Polymarket

$24,818 交易量

谢尔盖·布林 42%

杰夫·贝索斯 37.1%

黄仁勋 35.5%

马克·扎克伯格 30.1%

Polymarket

$24,818 交易量

icon for 谢尔盖·布林

谢尔盖·布林

$378 交易量

42%

icon for 杰夫·贝索斯

杰夫·贝索斯

$346 交易量

37%

icon for 黄仁勋

黄仁勋

$796 交易量

35%

icon for 马克·扎克伯格

马克·扎克伯格

$740 交易量

30%

icon for 伯纳德·阿尔诺

伯纳德·阿尔诺

$341 交易量

14%

icon for 拉里·佩奇

拉里·佩奇

$6,729 交易量

19%

icon for 埃隆·马斯克

埃隆·马斯克

$314 交易量

25%

icon for 史蒂夫·鲍尔默

史蒂夫·鲍尔默

$13,455 交易量

22%

icon for 迈克尔·戴尔

迈克尔·戴尔

$170 交易量

1%

icon for 拉里·埃里森

拉里·埃里森

$480 交易量

34%

icon for 沃伦·巴菲特

沃伦·巴菲特

$1,067 交易量

32%

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Traders see a tight race for third-richest person by year-end because Alphabet co-founder Sergey Brin, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, and Oracle’s Larry Ellison sit within a narrow band of current net worths, with fortunes swinging on AI-driven tech stock moves. Recent months have featured Dell Technologies surging on hardware demand while Amazon and Alphabet shares faced earnings volatility, keeping positions fluid. Market-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty over which company’s valuation trajectory will pull ahead in the final quarter, with no single frontrunner dominating amid fluctuating semiconductor, cloud, and consumer-tech performance. Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports and broader AI investment trends that could shift the order before December 31.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$24,818
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Traders see a tight race for third-richest person by year-end because Alphabet co-founder Sergey Brin, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, Nvidia’s Jensen Huang, and Oracle’s Larry Ellison sit within a narrow band of current net worths, with fortunes swinging on AI-driven tech stock moves. Recent months have featured Dell Technologies surging on hardware demand while Amazon and Alphabet shares faced earnings volatility, keeping positions fluid. Market-implied odds reflect ongoing uncertainty over which company’s valuation trajectory will pull ahead in the final quarter, with no single frontrunner dominating amid fluctuating semiconductor, cloud, and consumer-tech performance. Key catalysts include upcoming earnings reports and broader AI investment trends that could shift the order before December 31.

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #3 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$24,818
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"12月31日的第三大富豪?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"谢尔盖·布林",概率为 42%,其次是"杰夫·贝索斯",概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 42¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 42%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"12月31日的第三大富豪?"已产生 $24.8K 的总交易量(自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"12月31日的第三大富豪?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"12月31日的第三大富豪?"的当前领先者是"谢尔盖·布林",概率为 42%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 42%。紧随其后的结果是"杰夫·贝索斯",概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"12月31日的第三大富豪?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。