Jay Feely holds an 78% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to President Trump's endorsement, which prompted Feely to switch districts, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 plus a personal loan and high name recognition from his NFL career. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, at 19.7%, resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time but trails amid lower fundraising and attacks labeling him a frequent vote absentee. The July 21 primary in this open, competitive seat features limited polling and minor candidates drawing under 1% each, with trader consensus reflecting Feely's structural advantages in endorsements, resources, and visibility ahead of the contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Jay Feely 79%
约瑟夫·查普利克 19.8%
穆切尔·乌根蒂-丽塔 <1%
约翰·特罗博 <1%
$424,695 交易量
$424,695 交易量
2026-08-04
Jay Feely
79%
约瑟夫·查普利克
20%
穆切尔·乌根蒂-丽塔
1%
约翰·特罗博
1%
马特·格雷斯
1%
布兰登·索沃斯
1%
杰森·杜伊
1%
托德·格雷厄姆
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
德里克·加列戈
<1%
吉娜·斯沃博达
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
凯特琳·珀林顿
<1%
Jay Feely 79%
约瑟夫·查普利克 19.8%
穆切尔·乌根蒂-丽塔 <1%
约翰·特罗博 <1%
$424,695 交易量
$424,695 交易量
2026-08-04
Jay Feely
$8,407 交易量
79%
约瑟夫·查普利克
$10,629 交易量
20%
穆切尔·乌根蒂-丽塔
$5,231 交易量
1%
约翰·特罗博
$3,940 交易量
1%
马特·格雷斯
$48,967 交易量
1%
布兰登·索沃斯
$11,495 交易量
1%
杰森·杜伊
$3,406 交易量
1%
托德·格雷厄姆
$8,074 交易量
<1%
Kari Lake
$7,617 交易量
<1%
德里克·加列戈
$3,932 交易量
<1%
吉娜·斯沃博达
$5,093 交易量
<1%
Paul Reevs
$223,242 交易量
<1%
凯特琳·珀林顿
$10,720 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds an 78% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to President Trump's endorsement, which prompted Feely to switch districts, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 plus a personal loan and high name recognition from his NFL career. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, at 19.7%, resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time but trails amid lower fundraising and attacks labeling him a frequent vote absentee. The July 21 primary in this open, competitive seat features limited polling and minor candidates drawing under 1% each, with trader consensus reflecting Feely's structural advantages in endorsements, resources, and visibility ahead of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
交易量
$424,695结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds an 78% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to President Trump's endorsement, which prompted Feely to switch districts, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 plus a personal loan and high name recognition from his NFL career. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, at 19.7%, resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time but trails amid lower fundraising and attacks labeling him a frequent vote absentee. The July 21 primary in this open, competitive seat features limited polling and minor candidates drawing under 1% each, with trader consensus reflecting Feely's structural advantages in endorsements, resources, and visibility ahead of the contest.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$424,695结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely holds an 78% implied probability in the AZ-01 Republican primary due to President Trump's endorsement, which prompted Feely to switch districts, combined with superior fundraising exceeding $725,000 plus a personal loan and high name recognition from his NFL career. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, at 19.7%, resigned his legislative seat to campaign full time but trails amid lower fundraising and attacks labeling him a frequent vote absentee. The July 21 primary in this open, competitive seat features limited polling and minor candidates drawing under 1% each, with trader consensus reflecting Feely's structural advantages in endorsements, resources, and visibility ahead of the contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题