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icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

$13,043 交易量

2026-06-02
Polymarket

$13,043 交易量

Polymarket

Jimmy Panetta

$8,626 交易量

99%

Peter Verbica

$1,175 交易量

67%

Sean Dougherty

$148 交易量

27%

Tuka Gafari

$1,162 交易量

11%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

$352 交易量

3%

Lars Mapstead

$55 交易量

2%

Thomas Coxe

$1,525 交易量

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position ahead of California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, backed by substantial fundraising leads and established voter recognition in a district Democrats have controlled for years. The six-candidate field includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian entrants, which fragments opposition votes under the state's primary rules. No major late developments such as significant endorsements, polling shifts, or controversies have altered the race in recent weeks. The June primary will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general election, with procedural factors like ballot order and turnout patterns in coastal and Central Coast areas likely to influence final margins.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$13,043
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position ahead of California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, backed by substantial fundraising leads and established voter recognition in a district Democrats have controlled for years. The six-candidate field includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian entrants, which fragments opposition votes under the state's primary rules. No major late developments such as significant endorsements, polling shifts, or controversies have altered the race in recent weeks. The June primary will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general election, with procedural factors like ballot order and turnout patterns in coastal and Central Coast areas likely to influence final margins.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$13,043
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"CA-19 Primary Winners"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Jimmy Panetta",概率为 99%,其次是"Peter Verbica",概率为 67%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"CA-19 Primary Winners"已产生 $13K 的总交易量(自May 27, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"CA-19 Primary Winners"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"CA-19 Primary Winners"的当前领先者是"Jimmy Panetta",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"Peter Verbica",概率为 67%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"CA-19 Primary Winners"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。