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icon for CA-32 Primary Winners

CA-32 Primary Winners

icon for CA-32 Primary Winners

CA-32 Primary Winners

最新
2026-06-02
Polymarket

$1,036 交易量

Polymarket

Brad Sherman

$189 交易量

95%

Larry Thompson

$298 交易量

75%

Jake Levine

$30 交易量

29%

Marena Lin

$59 交易量

22%

Chris Ahuja

$53 交易量

16%

Dory Benami

$66 交易量

12%

Doug Smith

$85 交易量

10%

Josh Sautter

$96 交易量

9%

Anna Wilding

$160 交易量

8%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Rep. Brad Sherman holds a strong position heading into California's June 2 top-two primary for the 32nd congressional district, a safely Democratic seat centered in Los Angeles County. Multiple Democratic challengers, including former Obama and Biden administration official Jake Levine and candidates such as Chris Ahuja and Dory Benami, are contesting the race by emphasizing generational change and criticizing entrenched Washington leadership. Recent campaign activity shows challengers gaining visibility through fundraising and local events, though Sherman retains advantages from name recognition, institutional endorsements, and prior electoral margins exceeding 65 percent. The top-two format means the leading vote-getters advance regardless of party, with the heavily Democratic electorate likely determining whether two Democrats or one from each major party reach the November general election. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the contest in the final weeks.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,036
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Rep. Brad Sherman holds a strong position heading into California's June 2 top-two primary for the 32nd congressional district, a safely Democratic seat centered in Los Angeles County. Multiple Democratic challengers, including former Obama and Biden administration official Jake Levine and candidates such as Chris Ahuja and Dory Benami, are contesting the race by emphasizing generational change and criticizing entrenched Washington leadership. Recent campaign activity shows challengers gaining visibility through fundraising and local events, though Sherman retains advantages from name recognition, institutional endorsements, and prior electoral margins exceeding 65 percent. The top-two format means the leading vote-getters advance regardless of party, with the heavily Democratic electorate likely determining whether two Democrats or one from each major party reach the November general election. No major late-breaking developments have shifted the contest in the final weeks.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,036
结束日期
2026-06-02
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 32nd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"CA-32 Primary Winners"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Brad Sherman",概率为 95%,其次是"Larry Thompson",概率为 75%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 95¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 95%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"CA-32 Primary Winners"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 21, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"CA-32 Primary Winners"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"CA-32 Primary Winners"的当前领先者是"Brad Sherman",概率为 95%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 95%。紧随其后的结果是"Larry Thompson",概率为 75%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"CA-32 Primary Winners"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。