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icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner

April McClain Delaney 63%

David Trone 37%

George Gluck 1.6%

Daniel Krakower 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

April McClain Delaney 63%

David Trone 37%

George Gluck 1.6%

Daniel Krakower 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

April McClain Delaney

$895 交易量

63%

David Trone

$768 交易量

37%

George Gluck

$482 交易量

2%

Daniel Krakower

$692 交易量

1%

Kiambo White

$1,285 交易量

1%

Alexis Goldstein

$515 交易量

1%

Ethan Wechtaluk

$660 交易量

1%

Altimont Wilks

$716 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds the edge in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary through strong name recognition and endorsements from state leaders including Sen. Chris Van Hollen. Recent escalations in campaign rhetoric have centered on accusations that challenger David Trone’s materials misleadingly use “Congressman” and “re-elect” language, prompting a cease-and-desist letter in late April and sustained attacks on her voting record. Trone’s self-funding and prior representation of the district from 2019 to 2025 provide counter-momentum, yet early internal polling and voter satisfaction metrics favor the sitting representative ahead of the June 23 contest. These factors sustain trader consensus around her lead while leaving room for shifts from late attacks or turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,013
结束日期
2026-06-23
市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent April McClain Delaney holds the edge in the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary through strong name recognition and endorsements from state leaders including Sen. Chris Van Hollen. Recent escalations in campaign rhetoric have centered on accusations that challenger David Trone’s materials misleadingly use “Congressman” and “re-elect” language, prompting a cease-and-desist letter in late April and sustained attacks on her voting record. Trone’s self-funding and prior representation of the district from 2019 to 2025 provide counter-momentum, yet early internal polling and voter satisfaction metrics favor the sitting representative ahead of the June 23 contest. These factors sustain trader consensus around her lead while leaving room for shifts from late attacks or turnout dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,013
结束日期
2026-06-23
市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 8 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"April McClain Delaney",概率为 63%,其次是"David Trone",概率为 37%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 63¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 63%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于May 19, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 8 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner"的当前领先者是"April McClain Delaney",概率为 63%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 63%。紧随其后的结果是"David Trone",概率为 37%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"MD-06 Democratic Primary Winner"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。