Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在 4 月 16 日或之前 93%
未在4月30日发布 2.8%
4月17日 1.9%
4月20日 1.4%
最新
$137,643 交易量
最新
$137,643 交易量
2026-04-30
在 4 月 16 日或之前
93%
4月17日
2%
4 月 18 日
1%
4 月 19 日
<1%
4月20日
1%
4 月 21 日
1%
4 月 22 日
<1%
4月23日
<1%
4月24日
<1%
4 月 25 日
<1%
4月26日
<1%
4 月 27 日
<1%
4月28日
<1%
4月29日
<1%
4月30日
<1%
未在4月30日发布
3%
在 4 月 16 日或之前 93%
未在4月30日发布 2.8%
4月17日 1.9%
4月20日 1.4%
最新
$137,643 交易量
最新
$137,643 交易量
2026-04-30
在 4 月 16 日或之前
$61,686 交易量
93%
4月17日
$11,983 交易量
2%
4 月 18 日
$7,005 交易量
1%
4 月 19 日
$6,134 交易量
<1%
4月20日
$5,803 交易量
1%
4 月 21 日
$5,457 交易量
1%
4 月 22 日
$3,590 交易量
<1%
4月23日
$3,451 交易量
<1%
4月24日
$3,628 交易量
<1%
4 月 25 日
$3,922 交易量
<1%
4月26日
$3,850 交易量
<1%
4 月 27 日
$3,827 交易量
<1%
4月28日
$3,263 交易量
<1%
4月29日
$3,066 交易量
<1%
4月30日
$3,032 交易量
<1%
未在4月30日发布
$8,085 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
交易量
$137,643结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$137,643结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Claude 4.7 release on or before April 16 at 93.5% implied probability, driven by fresh leaks from over 500,000 lines of Anthropic's source code exposed via npm packages, revealing codenames like Capybara/Mythos and capabilities such as 1M-token context windows and superior coding benchmarks. Reports from The Information confirm preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside an AI design tool for websites, aligning with today's deadline; recent Claude Code desktop app redesigns and backend 500 errors signal rollout prep. Historical patterns—Opus 4.6 just 73 days after 4.5—bolster expectations. Delays could arise from safety evaluations, integration issues, or competitive shifts like OpenAI's moves, potentially pushing resolution later.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题