**Recent leaks and insider reports have concentrated trader sentiment on an imminent GPT-5.5 release, with April 16 commanding a 35.5% implied probability following a Reddit claim of an OpenAI launch window spanning April 14-16 for the model codenamed "Spud."** Internal evaluations shared on X confirm GPT-5.5 as a new large language model offering incremental advances in multimodality and agentic capabilities over GPT-5.4 (launched March 2026), yet not a leapfrog over rivals like Anthropic's Mythos. However, Axios reporting on April 9 revealed plans for a limited enterprise rollout due to cybersecurity misuse fears, elevating the 19% odds of no broad release by April 30 and tempering expectations for public access. Watch for announcements amid intensifying hype around a potential Codex super app integration this week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于April 16 35%
No release by April 30 19%
April 23 13%
April 30 12%
April 10
1%
April 11
8%
April 12
11%
April 13
11%
April 14
11%
April 15
11%
April 16
35%
April 17
10%
April 18
11%
April 19
11%
April 20
11%
April 21
11%
April 22
11%
April 23
13%
April 24
11%
April 25
11%
April 26
10%
April 27
11%
April 28
12%
April 29
12%
April 30
12%
No release by April 30
19%
April 16 35%
No release by April 30 19%
April 23 13%
April 30 12%
April 10
1%
April 11
8%
April 12
11%
April 13
11%
April 14
11%
April 15
11%
April 16
35%
April 17
10%
April 18
11%
April 19
11%
April 20
11%
April 21
11%
April 22
11%
April 23
13%
April 24
11%
April 25
11%
April 26
10%
April 27
11%
April 28
12%
April 29
12%
April 30
12%
No release by April 30
19%
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent leaks and insider reports have concentrated trader sentiment on an imminent GPT-5.5 release, with April 16 commanding a 35.5% implied probability following a Reddit claim of an OpenAI launch window spanning April 14-16 for the model codenamed "Spud."** Internal evaluations shared on X confirm GPT-5.5 as a new large language model offering incremental advances in multimodality and agentic capabilities over GPT-5.4 (launched March 2026), yet not a leapfrog over rivals like Anthropic's Mythos. However, Axios reporting on April 9 revealed plans for a limited enterprise rollout due to cybersecurity misuse fears, elevating the 19% odds of no broad release by April 30 and tempering expectations for public access. Watch for announcements amid intensifying hype around a potential Codex super app integration this week.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题