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科技·大型科技公司

Claude 4.7发布于... ？

Market icon
科技·大型科技公司

Claude 4.7发布于... ？

4月 30

6月 30

4月 30

6月 30

在 4 月 16 日或之前 81%

4月17日 9.3%

未在4月30日发布 1.9%

4月20日 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

$105,782 交易量

在 4 月 16 日或之前 81%

4月17日 9.3%

未在4月30日发布 1.9%

4月20日 1.3%

Polymarket
最新

$105,782 交易量

在 4 月 16 日或之前

$50,091 交易量

81%

4月17日

$8,744 交易量

9%

4 月 18 日

$5,344 交易量

<1%

4 月 19 日

$4,288 交易量

<1%

4月20日

$4,392 交易量

1%

4 月 21 日

$3,567 交易量

1%

4 月 22 日

$2,976 交易量

<1%

4月23日

$2,736 交易量

1%

4月24日

$2,781 交易量

<1%

4 月 25 日

$3,122 交易量

<1%

4月26日

$3,051 交易量

<1%

4 月 27 日

$3,027 交易量

<1%

4月28日

$2,072 交易量

<1%

4月29日

$1,922 交易量

<1%

4月30日

$1,571 交易量

<1%

未在4月30日发布

$6,153 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$105,782
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 83.5% implied probability to Anthropic releasing Claude Opus 4.7 on or before April 16, fueled by a recent report from The Information indicating preparations for a launch "as soon as this week," alongside a full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—featuring side-by-side sessions and voice commands—that typically precedes model drops. Backend 500 errors reported today suggest active deployment, while a late-March source code leak explicitly referenced Opus 4.7 alongside Sonnet 4.8, confirming advanced development. These signals build on Anthropic's rapid iteration since Claude 4's May 2025 debut and Sonnet 4.6's February release, though official confirmation remains pending and timelines could slip due to technical hurdles. April 17 carries 8.5% odds as a near-term contingency.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.

Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)

Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.

Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$105,782
结束日期
2026-04-30
市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public. Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market) Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Claude 4.7发布于... ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 16 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"在 4 月 16 日或之前"，概率为 81%，其次是"4月17日"，概率为 9%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 81¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 81%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Claude 4.7发布于... ？"已产生 $105.8K 的总交易量（自Apr 15, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Claude 4.7发布于... ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 16 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Claude 4.7发布于... ？"的当前领先者是"在 4 月 16 日或之前"，概率为 81%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 81%。紧随其后的结果是"4月17日"，概率为 9%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Claude 4.7发布于... ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。