Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around a 93.5% implied probability for Claude 4.7 releasing on or before April 16, driven by The Information's April 14 report citing sources that Anthropic is preparing Claude Opus 4.7 alongside an AI design tool for launch as soon as this week, corroborated by fresh leaks in the Claude Code npm package referencing Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8. A full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—adding side-by-side sessions, scheduled tasks, and voice commands—further signals rollout, aligning with Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before major large language model drops. Backend 500 errors reported April 15 hint at active deployment. While this reflects strong skin-in-the-game sentiment, realistic challenges include last-minute safety evaluations, technical delays as seen with prior Opus releases like 4.6 in February, or regulatory hurdles, potentially pushing to April 17 amid heavy trading volume.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在 4 月 16 日或之前 92%
4月17日 6.0%
4 月 21 日 1.5%
4月23日 <1%
最新
$68,961 交易量
最新
$68,961 交易量
2026-04-30
在 4 月 16 日或之前
92%
4月17日
6%
4 月 18 日
1%
4 月 19 日
1%
4月20日
<1%
4 月 21 日
1%
4 月 22 日
<1%
4月23日
1%
4月24日
<1%
4 月 25 日
<1%
4月26日
<1%
4 月 27 日
<1%
4月28日
<1%
4月29日
<1%
4月30日
<1%
未在4月30日发布
<1%
在 4 月 16 日或之前 92%
4月17日 6.0%
4 月 21 日 1.5%
4月23日 <1%
最新
$68,961 交易量
最新
$68,961 交易量
2026-04-30
在 4 月 16 日或之前
$29,263 交易量
92%
4月17日
$5,252 交易量
6%
4 月 18 日
$4,645 交易量
1%
4 月 19 日
$3,702 交易量
1%
4月20日
$2,859 交易量
<1%
4 月 21 日
$2,816 交易量
1%
4 月 22 日
$2,277 交易量
<1%
4月23日
$2,155 交易量
1%
4月24日
$2,453 交易量
<1%
4 月 25 日
$2,784 交易量
<1%
4月26日
$2,499 交易量
<1%
4 月 27 日
$2,643 交易量
<1%
4月28日
$1,689 交易量
<1%
4月29日
$1,661 交易量
<1%
4月30日
$1,571 交易量
<1%
未在4月30日发布
$4,756 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around a 93.5% implied probability for Claude 4.7 releasing on or before April 16, driven by The Information's April 14 report citing sources that Anthropic is preparing Claude Opus 4.7 alongside an AI design tool for launch as soon as this week, corroborated by fresh leaks in the Claude Code npm package referencing Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8. A full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—adding side-by-side sessions, scheduled tasks, and voice commands—further signals rollout, aligning with Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before major large language model drops. Backend 500 errors reported April 15 hint at active deployment. While this reflects strong skin-in-the-game sentiment, realistic challenges include last-minute safety evaluations, technical delays as seen with prior Opus releases like 4.6 in February, or regulatory hurdles, potentially pushing to April 17 amid heavy trading volume.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
交易量
$68,961结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around a 93.5% implied probability for Claude 4.7 releasing on or before April 16, driven by The Information's April 14 report citing sources that Anthropic is preparing Claude Opus 4.7 alongside an AI design tool for launch as soon as this week, corroborated by fresh leaks in the Claude Code npm package referencing Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8. A full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—adding side-by-side sessions, scheduled tasks, and voice commands—further signals rollout, aligning with Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before major large language model drops. Backend 500 errors reported April 15 hint at active deployment. While this reflects strong skin-in-the-game sentiment, realistic challenges include last-minute safety evaluations, technical delays as seen with prior Opus releases like 4.6 in February, or regulatory hurdles, potentially pushing to April 17 amid heavy trading volume.
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) on which Anthropic makes any Claude 4.7 model available to the general public.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude 4.7 refers to a product explicitly named Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.7, or a variant that is recognized as a successor to Claude 4.6, similar to the progression from Claude 4.2 to Claude 4.3. (e.g., Claude Opus, Sonnet, or Haiku 4.8, 4.9, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models, cost-efficiency variants, or similar will count for this market.
Products labeled as a new flagship generation such as Claude 5 or similar will NOT qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$68,961结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 10:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around a 93.5% implied probability for Claude 4.7 releasing on or before April 16, driven by The Information's April 14 report citing sources that Anthropic is preparing Claude Opus 4.7 alongside an AI design tool for launch as soon as this week, corroborated by fresh leaks in the Claude Code npm package referencing Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.8. A full redesign of the Claude Code desktop app—adding side-by-side sessions, scheduled tasks, and voice commands—further signals rollout, aligning with Anthropic's pattern of tooling upgrades before major large language model drops. Backend 500 errors reported April 15 hint at active deployment. While this reflects strong skin-in-the-game sentiment, realistic challenges include last-minute safety evaluations, technical delays as seen with prior Opus releases like 4.6 in February, or regulatory hurdles, potentially pushing to April 17 amid heavy trading volume.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题