Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 65-89 tweet range at 43.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 11-13, reflecting his recent April 3-10 pace of 239 posts averaging 34 daily, but tempered by potential weekend slowdowns in this pop culture powerhouse's posting habits. The closely contested 40-64 bin at 24.5% underscores uncertainty from fluctuating engagement—spikes around Tesla Robotaxi app updates, Grok-4.20 leaderboard dominance, and jabs at OpenAI and WhatsApp privacy—amid SpaceX and xAI demands. Higher ranges like 90-114 (20.5%) trail as traders weigh historical non-workday lulls against Musk's viral, real-time cultural commentary driving platform buzz. Weekend catalysts could swing volumes rapidly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于65-89 44%
40-64 25%
90-114 22%
115-139 7%
最新
$47,854 交易量
最新
$47,854 交易量
2026-04-13
少于40
2%
40-64
25%
65-89
44%
90-114
22%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 44%
40-64 25%
90-114 22%
115-139 7%
最新
$47,854 交易量
最新
$47,854 交易量
2026-04-13
少于40
$3,150 交易量
2%
40-64
$1,352 交易量
25%
65-89
$4,045 交易量
44%
90-114
$2,253 交易量
22%
115-139
$1,545 交易量
7%
140-164
$3,883 交易量
1%
165-189
$5,754 交易量
1%
190-214
$2,768 交易量
<1%
215-239
$9,094 交易量
<1%
240+
$14,208 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 65-89 tweet range at 43.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 11-13, reflecting his recent April 3-10 pace of 239 posts averaging 34 daily, but tempered by potential weekend slowdowns in this pop culture powerhouse's posting habits. The closely contested 40-64 bin at 24.5% underscores uncertainty from fluctuating engagement—spikes around Tesla Robotaxi app updates, Grok-4.20 leaderboard dominance, and jabs at OpenAI and WhatsApp privacy—amid SpaceX and xAI demands. Higher ranges like 90-114 (20.5%) trail as traders weigh historical non-workday lulls against Musk's viral, real-time cultural commentary driving platform buzz. Weekend catalysts could swing volumes rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
交易量
$47,854结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 65-89 tweet range at 43.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 11-13, reflecting his recent April 3-10 pace of 239 posts averaging 34 daily, but tempered by potential weekend slowdowns in this pop culture powerhouse's posting habits. The closely contested 40-64 bin at 24.5% underscores uncertainty from fluctuating engagement—spikes around Tesla Robotaxi app updates, Grok-4.20 leaderboard dominance, and jabs at OpenAI and WhatsApp privacy—amid SpaceX and xAI demands. Higher ranges like 90-114 (20.5%) trail as traders weigh historical non-workday lulls against Musk's viral, real-time cultural commentary driving platform buzz. Weekend catalysts could swing volumes rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$47,854结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions the 65-89 tweet range at 43.5% implied probability for Elon Musk's X activity from April 11-13, reflecting his recent April 3-10 pace of 239 posts averaging 34 daily, but tempered by potential weekend slowdowns in this pop culture powerhouse's posting habits. The closely contested 40-64 bin at 24.5% underscores uncertainty from fluctuating engagement—spikes around Tesla Robotaxi app updates, Grok-4.20 leaderboard dominance, and jabs at OpenAI and WhatsApp privacy—amid SpaceX and xAI demands. Higher ranges like 90-114 (20.5%) trail as traders weigh historical non-workday lulls against Musk's viral, real-time cultural commentary driving platform buzz. Weekend catalysts could swing volumes rapidly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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