Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, with 260-279 leading at 16.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 240-259 (15.5%) and 280-299 (14.5%), reflecting the tight race among these bins amid his benchmark 299 posts last week (April 7-14, averaging 43 daily). This positioning stems from sustained high-volume posting driven by SpaceX Starlink updates and X platform engagement, consistent with 2025-2026 patterns where Musk averages 40-70 daily amid tech news cycles. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential spikes from Tesla announcements or political commentary, versus quieter periods, keeping lower ranges viable; traders eye real-time X metrics as the week unfolds for momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 15%
300-319 14%
$503,345 交易量
$503,345 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
15%
300-319
14%
320-339
9%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580条以上
1%
260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 15%
300-319 14%
$503,345 交易量
$503,345 交易量
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
1%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
15%
300-319
14%
320-339
9%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
2%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580条以上
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 240-299 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, with 260-279 leading at 16.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 240-259 (15.5%) and 280-299 (14.5%), reflecting the tight race among these bins amid his benchmark 299 posts last week (April 7-14, averaging 43 daily). This positioning stems from sustained high-volume posting driven by SpaceX Starlink updates and X platform engagement, consistent with 2025-2026 patterns where Musk averages 40-70 daily amid tech news cycles. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential spikes from Tesla announcements or political commentary, versus quieter periods, keeping lower ranges viable; traders eye real-time X metrics as the week unfolds for momentum shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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