Recent May CPI data showed a 0.5% month-over-month rise, lifting the annual headline rate to 4.2% amid energy price pressures, while the labor market added 172,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%. These readings have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Open Market Committee will maintain the federal funds rate target range at its September 15-16 meeting. Resilient employment and sticky price pressures have shifted consensus toward a higher-for-longer stance, reducing the odds of near-term easing or tightening. CME futures and related contracts align with this positioning, reflecting limited anticipated shifts before year-end absent further data surprises.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于No change 74%
25 bps increase 12%
25 bps decrease 11.3%
50+ bps decrease 2.6%
$315,670 交易量
$315,670 交易量
2026-09-16
50+ bps decrease
3%
25 bps decrease
11%
No change
74%
25 bps increase
12%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 74%
25 bps increase 12%
25 bps decrease 11.3%
50+ bps decrease 2.6%
$315,670 交易量
$315,670 交易量
2026-09-16
50+ bps decrease
$54,709 交易量
3%
25 bps decrease
$63,643 交易量
11%
No change
$86,905 交易量
74%
25 bps increase
$59,987 交易量
12%
50+ bps increase
$50,455 交易量
<1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent May CPI data showed a 0.5% month-over-month rise, lifting the annual headline rate to 4.2% amid energy price pressures, while the labor market added 172,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%. These readings have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Open Market Committee will maintain the federal funds rate target range at its September 15-16 meeting. Resilient employment and sticky price pressures have shifted consensus toward a higher-for-longer stance, reducing the odds of near-term easing or tightening. CME futures and related contracts align with this positioning, reflecting limited anticipated shifts before year-end absent further data surprises.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$315,670结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent May CPI data showed a 0.5% month-over-month rise, lifting the annual headline rate to 4.2% amid energy price pressures, while the labor market added 172,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%. These readings have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Open Market Committee will maintain the federal funds rate target range at its September 15-16 meeting. Resilient employment and sticky price pressures have shifted consensus toward a higher-for-longer stance, reducing the odds of near-term easing or tightening. CME futures and related contracts align with this positioning, reflecting limited anticipated shifts before year-end absent further data surprises.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$315,670结束日期
2026-09-16市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent May CPI data showed a 0.5% month-over-month rise, lifting the annual headline rate to 4.2% amid energy price pressures, while the labor market added 172,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.3%. These readings have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Open Market Committee will maintain the federal funds rate target range at its September 15-16 meeting. Resilient employment and sticky price pressures have shifted consensus toward a higher-for-longer stance, reducing the odds of near-term easing or tightening. CME futures and related contracts align with this positioning, reflecting limited anticipated shifts before year-end absent further data surprises.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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