In the Goiás Senate race for two seats renewing in October 2026, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field and large undecided share that keeps the contest for second place highly competitive. Recent July polling showed Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading with roughly 20 percent while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Mendanha, and others clustered in single digits, leaving the second position open amid 30-plus percent undecided or blank responses. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple contenders because voter preferences remain fluid and no candidate has consolidated a clear path to the runner-up spot. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and final campaign pushes before the single-round vote could shift momentum by clarifying voter priorities or consolidating support behind one of the mid-tier names.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于埃内斯托·罗勒尔 41%
吉列尔梅·达尔克斯 40%
Gracinha Caiado 24%
古斯塔沃·门达尼亚 24%

埃内斯托·罗勒尔
41%

吉列尔梅·达尔克斯
40%

Gracinha Caiado
24%

古斯塔沃·门达尼亚
24%

范德兰·卡多索
24%

扎查里亚斯·卡利尔博士
23%

Iure Castro
23%

辛蒂娅·迪亚斯
23%

伊萨乌拉·莱莫斯
22%

古斯塔沃·盖耶尔
21%

奥赛亚斯·瓦劳
21%
埃内斯托·罗勒尔 41%
吉列尔梅·达尔克斯 40%
Gracinha Caiado 24%
古斯塔沃·门达尼亚 24%

埃内斯托·罗勒尔
41%

吉列尔梅·达尔克斯
40%

Gracinha Caiado
24%

古斯塔沃·门达尼亚
24%

范德兰·卡多索
24%

扎查里亚斯·卡利尔博士
23%

Iure Castro
23%

辛蒂娅·迪亚斯
23%

伊萨乌拉·莱莫斯
22%

古斯塔沃·盖耶尔
21%

奥赛亚斯·瓦劳
21%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市场开放时间: Aug 17, 2026, 5:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the Goiás Senate race for two seats renewing in October 2026, trader pricing reflects a fragmented field and large undecided share that keeps the contest for second place highly competitive. Recent July polling showed Gracinha Caiado (União Brasil) leading with roughly 20 percent while Vanderlan Cardoso, Dr. Zacharias Calil, Gustavo Mendanha, and others clustered in single digits, leaving the second position open amid 30-plus percent undecided or blank responses. This structure sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple contenders because voter preferences remain fluid and no candidate has consolidated a clear path to the runner-up spot. Upcoming debates, regional endorsements, and final campaign pushes before the single-round vote could shift momentum by clarifying voter priorities or consolidating support behind one of the mid-tier names.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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