**Clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating under a stable high-pressure system are positioning 34–35°C as the most likely peak temperatures for Ankara on August 22, 2026.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including those from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS, consistently project a daily maximum in this narrow range, with afternoon readings reaching 33–35°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs show little disagreement, and the absence of precipitation or significant advection supports efficient surface warming on the Anatolian plateau. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 64% implied probability for 35°C and 27.5% for 34°C, aligns closely with these consensus forecasts; the modest probability attached to 36°C accounts for possible slight model underestimation or localized microclimate effects, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given current conditions. Updated observational data and evening model guidance will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月22日安卡拉的最高温度？
8月22日安卡拉的最高温度？
35°C 65%
34°C 28%
36°C 10%
33°C 2%
最新
$14,161 交易量
最新
$14,161 交易量
2026-08-22
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
28%
35°C
65%
36°C
10%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 65%
34°C 28%
36°C 10%
33°C 2%
最新
$14,161 交易量
最新
$14,161 交易量
2026-08-22
30°C or below
$417 交易量
<1%
31°C
$469 交易量
<1%
32°C
$926 交易量
1%
33°C
$1,838 交易量
2%
34°C
$2,437 交易量
28%
35°C
$3,223 交易量
65%
36°C
$1,727 交易量
10%
37°C
$589 交易量
<1%
38°C
$526 交易量
<1%
39°C
$1,396 交易量
<1%
40°C or higher
$614 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating under a stable high-pressure system are positioning 34–35°C as the most likely peak temperatures for Ankara on August 22, 2026.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including those from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS, consistently project a daily maximum in this narrow range, with afternoon readings reaching 33–35°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs show little disagreement, and the absence of precipitation or significant advection supports efficient surface warming on the Anatolian plateau. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 64% implied probability for 35°C and 27.5% for 34°C, aligns closely with these consensus forecasts; the modest probability attached to 36°C accounts for possible slight model underestimation or localized microclimate effects, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given current conditions. Updated observational data and evening model guidance will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$14,161结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating under a stable high-pressure system are positioning 34–35°C as the most likely peak temperatures for Ankara on August 22, 2026.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including those from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS, consistently project a daily maximum in this narrow range, with afternoon readings reaching 33–35°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs show little disagreement, and the absence of precipitation or significant advection supports efficient surface warming on the Anatolian plateau. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 64% implied probability for 35°C and 27.5% for 34°C, aligns closely with these consensus forecasts; the modest probability attached to 36°C accounts for possible slight model underestimation or localized microclimate effects, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given current conditions. Updated observational data and evening model guidance will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,161结束日期
2026-08-22市场开放时间
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Clear skies, light winds, and strong daytime solar heating under a stable high-pressure system are positioning 34–35°C as the most likely peak temperatures for Ankara on August 22, 2026.** Multiple official and model forecasts, including those from the Turkish Meteorological Service and international sources such as ECMWF and GFS, consistently project a daily maximum in this narrow range, with afternoon readings reaching 33–35°C amid low humidity and minimal cloud cover. Recent model runs show little disagreement, and the absence of precipitation or significant advection supports efficient surface warming on the Anatolian plateau. Trader sentiment, reflected in the 64% implied probability for 35°C and 27.5% for 34°C, aligns closely with these consensus forecasts; the modest probability attached to 36°C accounts for possible slight model underestimation or localized microclimate effects, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given current conditions. Updated observational data and evening model guidance will determine final resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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