Trader consensus on Ankara's highest temperature March 25 clusters tightly around 9–13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 10–12°C amid variable spring conditions in the city's continental climate. Short-range model runs from Turkish State Meteorology show a high-pressure ridge weakening, tempering northerly cold outflows that could dip to 9–10°C, while southerly flows favor 11–12°C peaks—historical March averages hover near 11°C. Differentiating factors include jet stream undulations introducing 1–2°C spread; 13°C+ odds fade with low-confidence warmth signals, and tails below 7°C or above 16°C reflect rare extremes. Monitor 12Z updates for resolution shifts as observations firm up.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
Highest temperature in Ankara on March 25?
11°C 23%
12°C 22%
10°C 18%
13°C 18%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
17%
10°C
18%
11°C
23%
12°C
22%
13°C
18%
14°C
15%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
2%
11°C 23%
12°C 22%
10°C 18%
13°C 18%
6°C or below
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
8%
9°C
17%
10°C
18%
11°C
23%
12°C
22%
13°C
18%
14°C
15%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ankara's highest temperature March 25 clusters tightly around 9–13°C, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on 10–12°C amid variable spring conditions in the city's continental climate. Short-range model runs from Turkish State Meteorology show a high-pressure ridge weakening, tempering northerly cold outflows that could dip to 9–10°C, while southerly flows favor 11–12°C peaks—historical March averages hover near 11°C. Differentiating factors include jet stream undulations introducing 1–2°C spread; 13°C+ odds fade with low-confidence warmth signals, and tails below 7°C or above 16°C reflect rare extremes. Monitor 12Z updates for resolution shifts as observations firm up.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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