Trader sentiment for Denver's March 25 high temperature clusters tightly around 80-89°F bins at 17% implied odds each, driven primarily by the latest NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF ensemble models projecting peaks in the mid-to-upper 80s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This setup favors adiabatic warming from downslope chinook-like winds, with clear skies and low soil moisture amplifying temperatures well above the 57°F climatological average. Differentiation among leaders hinges on frontal boundary timing—earlier passage caps at 80-83°F (17%), while delays push toward 86-89°F (17%) per 00Z runs. Historical late-March outliers, like 2012's 81°F, support upside risk, though 2.5% odds below 77°F reflect minimal trough intrusion probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
88-89°F 17%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
80-81°F 17%
82-83°F 17%
84-85°F 17%
88-89°F 17%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
9%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
12%
96°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Denver's March 25 high temperature clusters tightly around 80-89°F bins at 17% implied odds each, driven primarily by the latest NOAA Global Forecast System (GFS) and ECMWF ensemble models projecting peaks in the mid-to-upper 80s under a persistent high-pressure ridge over the central Rockies. This setup favors adiabatic warming from downslope chinook-like winds, with clear skies and low soil moisture amplifying temperatures well above the 57°F climatological average. Differentiation among leaders hinges on frontal boundary timing—earlier passage caps at 80-83°F (17%), while delays push toward 86-89°F (17%) per 00Z runs. Historical late-March outliers, like 2012's 81°F, support upside risk, though 2.5% odds below 77°F reflect minimal trough intrusion probability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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