Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (97.9% implied probability), propelled by tight agreement among leading weather models like GFS and ECMWF, which forecast peaks of 65-72°F under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection and sunny skies. National Weather Service outlooks align, projecting mid-60s with minimal cloud cover and light southerly flow, consistent with late-March climatology averaging 64°F highs and recent model skill at 1-3 day leads exceeding 90% for temperature bins. Ensemble spreads are narrow, underscoring reliability. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen shortwave trough diving southeast, potentially capping highs below 58°F, but current probabilities price this at under 2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 97.4%
52-53°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$20,617 交易量
$20,617 交易量
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
97%
58°F or higher 97.4%
52-53°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
54-55°F <1%
$20,617 交易量
$20,617 交易量
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
1%
58°F or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a high of 58°F or higher in Atlanta on March 25 (97.9% implied probability), propelled by tight agreement among leading weather models like GFS and ECMWF, which forecast peaks of 65-72°F under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm advection and sunny skies. National Weather Service outlooks align, projecting mid-60s with minimal cloud cover and light southerly flow, consistent with late-March climatology averaging 64°F highs and recent model skill at 1-3 day leads exceeding 90% for temperature bins. Ensemble spreads are narrow, underscoring reliability. Challenges could arise from an unforeseen shortwave trough diving southeast, potentially capping highs below 58°F, but current probabilities price this at under 2%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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