Trader consensus favors 84-85°F (29%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering in the mid-80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiating factors include model spread: the ECMWF mean projects 84-86°F with clearer skies enhancing daytime heating, while the cooler GFS outlier at 82-83°F assumes increased cloud cover from an approaching weak front. Historical March 22 highs average 67°F, but this anomalously warm pattern—fueled by blocking highs—elevates odds, with traders eyeing afternoon peak hours (2-4 PM EDT) per NWS guidance; upcoming 12Z model updates could shift the razor-thin 82-87°F race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 22?
84-85°F 26%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 18%
86-87°F 15%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
84-85°F 26%
82-83°F 22%
88-89°F 18%
86-87°F 15%
73°F or below
2%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
15%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
4%
92°F or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 84-85°F (29%) for Atlanta's highest temperature on March 22, driven by the latest NOAA GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts clustering in the mid-80s amid a persistent upper-level ridge fostering warm southerly flow from the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiating factors include model spread: the ECMWF mean projects 84-86°F with clearer skies enhancing daytime heating, while the cooler GFS outlier at 82-83°F assumes increased cloud cover from an approaching weak front. Historical March 22 highs average 67°F, but this anomalously warm pattern—fueled by blocking highs—elevates odds, with traders eyeing afternoon peak hours (2-4 PM EDT) per NWS guidance; upcoming 12Z model updates could shift the razor-thin 82-87°F race.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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