Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on March 25 favors 22°C or below at 24.5%, propelled by Central Weather Administration forecasts indicating daytime highs near 23°C amid lingering effects of a recent cool frontal passage and partly cloudy conditions. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit a tight 2-4°C spread, with low-level moisture and potential sea breeze convergence differentiating cooler outcomes—bolstered by diurnally suppressed convection—from warmer 26-27°C scenarios at 16.5-17% odds, which hinge on clearing skies and southerly winds enhancing insolation. Historical late-March averages around 24°C underscore the razor-thin market balance, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind shear could tip resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on March 25?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 25?
22°C or below 25%
32°C or higher 20%
24°C 17%
25°C 17%
22°C or below
25%
23°C
16%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
20%
22°C or below 25%
32°C or higher 20%
24°C 17%
25°C 17%
22°C or below
25%
23°C
16%
24°C
17%
25°C
17%
26°C
17%
27°C
17%
28°C
17%
29°C
15%
30°C
12%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
20%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Taipei's highest temperature on March 25 favors 22°C or below at 24.5%, propelled by Central Weather Administration forecasts indicating daytime highs near 23°C amid lingering effects of a recent cool frontal passage and partly cloudy conditions. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS exhibit a tight 2-4°C spread, with low-level moisture and potential sea breeze convergence differentiating cooler outcomes—bolstered by diurnally suppressed convection—from warmer 26-27°C scenarios at 16.5-17% odds, which hinge on clearing skies and southerly winds enhancing insolation. Historical late-March averages around 24°C underscore the razor-thin market balance, as minor shifts in cloud cover or wind shear could tip resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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