Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C highs for Taipei on March 23, driven by ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF converging on mild conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with Central Weather Administration projections peaking near 26.5°C. Differentiating factors include variable low-level southerly winds enhancing heat advection versus potential afternoon cloudiness suppressing peaks, alongside urban heat island amplification in Taipei raising 1–2°C above rural stations. Historical March averages hover at 23°C, but above-normal sea surface temperatures and absent cold fronts per recent satellite imagery tilt odds away from sub-25°C outcomes, while low shear limits convective cooling for extremes above 30°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 23?
25°C 32%
27°C 32%
24°C 30%
26°C 26%
22°C or below
13%
23°C
14%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
4%
25°C 32%
27°C 32%
24°C 30%
26°C 26%
22°C or below
13%
23°C
14%
24°C
17%
25°C
18%
26°C
26%
27°C
27%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
13%
31°C
11%
32°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 26–27°C highs for Taipei on March 23, driven by ensemble forecasts from global models like GFS and ECMWF converging on mild conditions under a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge, with Central Weather Administration projections peaking near 26.5°C. Differentiating factors include variable low-level southerly winds enhancing heat advection versus potential afternoon cloudiness suppressing peaks, alongside urban heat island amplification in Taipei raising 1–2°C above rural stations. Historical March averages hover at 23°C, but above-normal sea surface temperatures and absent cold fronts per recent satellite imagery tilt odds away from sub-25°C outcomes, while low shear limits convective cooling for extremes above 30°C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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