Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 13-15°C due to the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which show a spread of 12-16°C amid mild westerly airflow from the Atlantic. The ECMWF deterministic run projects a 14°C peak, while GFS leans slightly cooler at 13°C, reflecting uncertainty in upper-level trough phasing that could enhance warm air advection or introduce cooler northerlies. This above-normal outlook—historical late-March highs average 9°C—hinges on surface pressure gradients and small-scale mixing, with urban heat effects at Chopin Airport potentially nudging readings higher; IMGW updates tomorrow could sharpen the edge among these top outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 23?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on March 23?
13°C 21%
15°C 21%
14°C 19%
12°C 17%
$15,139 交易量
$15,139 交易量
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
10%
12°C
17%
13°C
21%
14°C
19%
15°C
21%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
13%
13°C 21%
15°C 21%
14°C 19%
12°C 17%
$15,139 交易量
$15,139 交易量
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
7%
11°C
10%
12°C
17%
13°C
21%
14°C
19%
15°C
21%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:15 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Warsaw's highest temperature on March 23 clusters tightly around 13-15°C due to the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, which show a spread of 12-16°C amid mild westerly airflow from the Atlantic. The ECMWF deterministic run projects a 14°C peak, while GFS leans slightly cooler at 13°C, reflecting uncertainty in upper-level trough phasing that could enhance warm air advection or introduce cooler northerlies. This above-normal outlook—historical late-March highs average 9°C—hinges on surface pressure gradients and small-scale mixing, with urban heat effects at Chopin Airport potentially nudging readings higher; IMGW updates tomorrow could sharpen the edge among these top outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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