Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around a highest temperature of 3–5°C in Toronto on March 25, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast indicating a high near 4°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a narrow spread of 2–6°C, reflecting uncertainty from a weak frontal boundary and potential lake-effect moderation from Lake Ontario. Cooler anomalies persist due to a lingering upper-level trough, dipping 1–2°C below the March 25 historical average of about 6°C, while slim odds for 10°C+ stem from low confidence in any warm advection. Upcoming hourly updates could refine this balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on March 25?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 25?
3°C 22%
4°C 22%
5°C 22%
0°C or below 18.9%
0°C or below
19%
1°C
17%
2°C
18%
3°C
22%
4°C
22%
5°C
22%
6°C
17%
7°C
15%
8°C
13%
9°C
12%
10°C or higher
2%
3°C 22%
4°C 22%
5°C 22%
0°C or below 18.9%
0°C or below
19%
1°C
17%
2°C
18%
3°C
22%
4°C
22%
5°C
22%
6°C
17%
7°C
15%
8°C
13%
9°C
12%
10°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around a highest temperature of 3–5°C in Toronto on March 25, driven by Environment Canada's latest forecast indicating a high near 4°C amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a narrow spread of 2–6°C, reflecting uncertainty from a weak frontal boundary and potential lake-effect moderation from Lake Ontario. Cooler anomalies persist due to a lingering upper-level trough, dipping 1–2°C below the March 25 historical average of about 6°C, while slim odds for 10°C+ stem from low confidence in any warm advection. Upcoming hourly updates could refine this balance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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