Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and ECMWF models project Toronto's March 23 high temperature clustering around 3-5°C, fueling tight trader odds with 5°C or higher at 26.5%, 3°C at 24%, and 4°C at 23%. This reflects consensus on mild southerly airflow displacing recent Arctic air but uncertainty in cloud cover and a weak frontal passage timing, which could cap peaks below 4°C or allow brief spikes above 5°C amid diurnal mixing. Historical data shows March 23 averages 4.5°C high, with variability from jet stream wobbles; traders await high-resolution 00z updates for differentiation as resolution nears midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on March 23?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 23?
3°C 24%
5°C or higher 23%
2°C 22%
1°C 19%
-5°C or below
2%
-4°C
8%
-3°C
11%
-2°C
12%
-1°C
12%
0°C
14%
1°C
19%
2°C
22%
3°C
24%
4°C
23%
5°C or higher
23%
3°C 24%
5°C or higher 23%
2°C 22%
1°C 19%
-5°C or below
2%
-4°C
8%
-3°C
11%
-2°C
12%
-1°C
12%
0°C
14%
1°C
19%
2°C
22%
3°C
24%
4°C
23%
5°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from Environment Canada and ECMWF models project Toronto's March 23 high temperature clustering around 3-5°C, fueling tight trader odds with 5°C or higher at 26.5%, 3°C at 24%, and 4°C at 23%. This reflects consensus on mild southerly airflow displacing recent Arctic air but uncertainty in cloud cover and a weak frontal passage timing, which could cap peaks below 4°C or allow brief spikes above 5°C amid diurnal mixing. Historical data shows March 23 averages 4.5°C high, with variability from jet stream wobbles; traders await high-resolution 00z updates for differentiation as resolution nears midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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