Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 80-81°F in Atlanta on March 23 at 30% implied probability, driven by the latest NWS forecast and model ensembles projecting upper 70s to low 80s under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southeast. GFS runs, often warm-biased in spring verification for Atlanta, show peaks near 82°F, while ECMWF leans cooler at 78°F, creating tight clustering around 76-81°F bins that capture 76.5% of market odds. Differentiating factors include diurnal heating potential versus emerging cumulus clouds capping convection, with historical March averages of 68°F underscoring the ridge's outlier influence. Watch 00z model updates for resolution shifts based on Hartsfield-Jackson observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 23?
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 14%
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
12%
80-81°F 30%
76-77°F 24%
78-79°F 20%
74-75°F 14%
65°F or below
5%
66-67°F
8%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
12%
72-73°F
10%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
24%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
30%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 80-81°F in Atlanta on March 23 at 30% implied probability, driven by the latest NWS forecast and model ensembles projecting upper 70s to low 80s under a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the Southeast. GFS runs, often warm-biased in spring verification for Atlanta, show peaks near 82°F, while ECMWF leans cooler at 78°F, creating tight clustering around 76-81°F bins that capture 76.5% of market odds. Differentiating factors include diurnal heating potential versus emerging cumulus clouds capping convection, with historical March averages of 68°F underscoring the ridge's outlier influence. Watch 00z model updates for resolution shifts based on Hartsfield-Jackson observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题