Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 24-26°C for Buenos Aires on March 22, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on mid-20s peaks amid a mild late-summer pattern. Official forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional align closely, projecting 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, though subtle differences arise from sea-breeze potential—favoring 24°C if onshore flows strengthen—or urban heat island effects boosting to 26°C under clearer conditions. Historical March averages hover near 27°C, but recent cooler anomalies and model spreads introduce uncertainty, with 23°C or lower viable if unexpected cloud cover persists into afternoon hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 22?
24°C 26%
25°C 22%
26°C 21%
27°C 11%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
26%
25°C
22%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
3%
24°C 26%
25°C 22%
26°C 21%
27°C 11%
20°C or below
3%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
9%
24°C
26%
25°C
22%
26°C
21%
27°C
11%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors highs of 24-26°C for Buenos Aires on March 22, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on mid-20s peaks amid a mild late-summer pattern. Official forecasts from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional align closely, projecting 25°C under partly cloudy skies with light northerly winds, though subtle differences arise from sea-breeze potential—favoring 24°C if onshore flows strengthen—or urban heat island effects boosting to 26°C under clearer conditions. Historical March averages hover near 27°C, but recent cooler anomalies and model spreads introduce uncertainty, with 23°C or lower viable if unexpected cloud cover persists into afternoon hours.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题