Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Dallas recording a high temperature between 92°F and 97°F on March 22, driven primarily by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which project peak highs of 94-96°F under a strong upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and adiabatic warming. Southerly winds advect warm, dry air from Mexico, amplifying solar insolation on sparse cloud cover, while antecedent dry soils reduce evaporative cooling. Differentiation among top bins hinges on a 1-2°F model spread: hi-res NAM forecasts nudge toward 96-97°F with afternoon mixing depths exceeding 2,000 feet, versus cooler Euro ensemble outliers at 92-93°F if marine stratus intrudes; historical March 22 records top out near 92°F, heightening upside risk for 98°F+.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月22日达拉斯的最高温度?
3月22日达拉斯的最高温度?
94-95°F 27%
96-97°F 26%
98°F或更高 21%
92-93°F 18%
$36,571 交易量
$36,571 交易量
79°F或以下
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
26%
98°F或更高
21%
94-95°F 27%
96-97°F 26%
98°F或更高 21%
92-93°F 18%
$36,571 交易量
$36,571 交易量
79°F或以下
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
8%
92-93°F
18%
94-95°F
27%
96-97°F
26%
98°F或更高
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 18, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Dallas recording a high temperature between 92°F and 97°F on March 22, driven primarily by the latest NOAA Weather Prediction Center guidance and ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF, which project peak highs of 94-96°F under a strong upper-level ridge fostering subsidence and adiabatic warming. Southerly winds advect warm, dry air from Mexico, amplifying solar insolation on sparse cloud cover, while antecedent dry soils reduce evaporative cooling. Differentiation among top bins hinges on a 1-2°F model spread: hi-res NAM forecasts nudge toward 96-97°F with afternoon mixing depths exceeding 2,000 feet, versus cooler Euro ensemble outliers at 92-93°F if marine stratus intrudes; historical March 22 records top out near 92°F, heightening upside risk for 98°F+.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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