Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward a high of 84°F or warmer in Dallas on March 23, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting a peak around 84°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas ushering in southerly winds and above-normal spring warmth. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on mid-80s highs, with recent runs refining upward from earlier 80°F projections after yesterday's unseasonably warm 78°F reading. Historical March averages hover near 70°F, but this setup—featuring clear skies and minimal cold air interference—positions 80-83°F buckets as solid backups, though diurnal variability and late-day clouding introduce modest uncertainty ahead of the 5 p.m. CT resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on March 23?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 23?
84°F or higher 39%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 17%
78-79°F 15%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
17%
84°F or higher
39%
84°F or higher 39%
80-81°F 19%
82-83°F 17%
78-79°F 15%
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
17%
84°F or higher
39%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts heavily toward a high of 84°F or warmer in Dallas on March 23, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast predicting a peak around 84°F amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas ushering in southerly winds and above-normal spring warmth. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show strong agreement on mid-80s highs, with recent runs refining upward from earlier 80°F projections after yesterday's unseasonably warm 78°F reading. Historical March averages hover near 70°F, but this setup—featuring clear skies and minimal cold air interference—positions 80-83°F buckets as solid backups, though diurnal variability and late-day clouding introduce modest uncertainty ahead of the 5 p.m. CT resolution window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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