**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 29?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 29?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$73,472 交易量
$73,472 交易量
2026-04-29
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$73,472 交易量
$73,472 交易量
2026-04-29
10°C or below
$474 交易量
No
11°C
$759 交易量
No
12°C
$1,913 交易量
No
13°C
$24,272 交易量
No
14°C
$10,454 交易量
Yes
15°C
$6,108 交易量
No
16°C
$6,153 交易量
No
17°C
$7,510 交易量
No
18°C
$8,427 交易量
No
19°C
$5,382 交易量
No
20°C or higher
$2,020 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
交易量
$73,472结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$73,472结束日期
2026-04-29市场开放时间
Apr 27, 2026, 1:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Official observations from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) stations across Istanbul confirm the highest temperature reached exactly 14°C on April 29, 2026, driving the market's unanimous 100% implied probability on this outcome.** This measurement aligns with data from key reporting sites like Istanbul Airport and Florya, capturing peak daytime readings amid cloudy conditions and northerly winds that suppressed warming, resulting in temperatures slightly below the April climatological average of 15-16°C. Trader consensus reflects this verified observational data, representing skin-in-the-game agreement on resolution criteria tied to MGM's standardized maximum temperature records. Scenarios challenging this would require rare data revisions, such as station malfunctions or post-audit recalibrations uncovering higher peaks at unmonitored urban microclimates, though such adjustments are exceedingly uncommon for settled daily records.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题