Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9-11°C for London's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the latest Met Office ensemble forecasts projecting a peak near 10°C under a building high-pressure ridge over southern England. This mild late-winter setup, with light winds and partial sunshine, aligns with March climatology at Heathrow (historical average high ~11°C), but model spread introduces uncertainty: ECMWF clusters favor 10-11°C (low cloud risk boosting warmth), while GFS outliers hint at cooler 8-9°C if northerly breezes strengthen. Sub-8°C odds lag due to negligible cold snap signals, with traders eyeing hourly updates for resolution-defining cloud cover and solar insolation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月25日伦敦气温最高?
3月25日伦敦气温最高?
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
8°C 19%
7°C 18%
5°C或以下
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
18%
8°C
19%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
20%
12°C
7%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C或更高
1%
10°C 31%
9°C 28%
8°C 19%
7°C 18%
5°C或以下
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
18%
8°C
19%
9°C
28%
10°C
31%
11°C
20%
12°C
7%
13°C
2%
14°C
2%
15°C或更高
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 9-11°C for London's highest temperature on March 25, driven by the latest Met Office ensemble forecasts projecting a peak near 10°C under a building high-pressure ridge over southern England. This mild late-winter setup, with light winds and partial sunshine, aligns with March climatology at Heathrow (historical average high ~11°C), but model spread introduces uncertainty: ECMWF clusters favor 10-11°C (low cloud risk boosting warmth), while GFS outliers hint at cooler 8-9°C if northerly breezes strengthen. Sub-8°C odds lag due to negligible cold snap signals, with traders eyeing hourly updates for resolution-defining cloud cover and solar insolation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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