Trader consensus clusters tightly around 70-74°F for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) highs on April 19, with 74°F or higher leading at 29.5% implied probability, mirroring the latest National Weather Service guidance for near 74°F amid a warming trend after April 16's observed 70°F maximum. Key differentiators include the strength of westerly onshore flow and marine layer persistence, which can suppress coastal peaks via a low-level temperature inversion; weaker flow and earlier stratus clearing favor 74°F+, while stubborn clouds cap at 70-71°F. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a 3-4°F spread around 72-75°F baselines, aligning with mid-April climatology. Evening 12Z model runs and NWS updates may sharpen odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 19?
72-73°F 30%
74°F or higher 27%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 14%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
30%
74°F or higher
27%
72-73°F 30%
74°F or higher 27%
70-71°F 25%
68-69°F 14%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
9%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
30%
74°F or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 17, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 70-74°F for Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX) highs on April 19, with 74°F or higher leading at 29.5% implied probability, mirroring the latest National Weather Service guidance for near 74°F amid a warming trend after April 16's observed 70°F maximum. Key differentiators include the strength of westerly onshore flow and marine layer persistence, which can suppress coastal peaks via a low-level temperature inversion; weaker flow and earlier stratus clearing favor 74°F+, while stubborn clouds cap at 70-71°F. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a 3-4°F spread around 72-75°F baselines, aligning with mid-April climatology. Evening 12Z model runs and NWS updates may sharpen odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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