Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's August 23 maximum temperatures in the narrow 31–33 °C range favored by traders. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project an overcast sky with scattered rain or storms, limiting surface heating and aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities of 35 % for 32 °C, 25 % for 31 °C, and 22.5 % for 33 °C. Recent days have shown similar suppressed maxima in the low 30s amid above-average rainfall, consistent with climatological expectations for an active monsoon trough. Updated model runs and IMD briefings on August 22–23 will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月23日勒克瑙的最高温度？
8月23日勒克瑙的最高温度？
32°C 40%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
25%
32°C
40%
33°C
22%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 40%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
30°C 8%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
25°C or below
$308 交易量
<1%
26°C
$117 交易量
1%
27°C
$152 交易量
<1%
28°C
$142 交易量
2%
29°C
$38 交易量
4%
30°C
$80 交易量
8%
31°C
$371 交易量
25%
32°C
$521 交易量
40%
33°C
$449 交易量
22%
34°C
$175 交易量
6%
35°C or higher
$60 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's August 23 maximum temperatures in the narrow 31–33 °C range favored by traders. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project an overcast sky with scattered rain or storms, limiting surface heating and aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities of 35 % for 32 °C, 25 % for 31 °C, and 22.5 % for 33 °C. Recent days have shown similar suppressed maxima in the low 30s amid above-average rainfall, consistent with climatological expectations for an active monsoon trough. Updated model runs and IMD briefings on August 22–23 will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,413结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Active southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's August 23 maximum temperatures in the narrow 31–33 °C range favored by traders. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project an overcast sky with scattered rain or storms, limiting surface heating and aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities of 35 % for 32 °C, 25 % for 31 °C, and 22.5 % for 33 °C. Recent days have shown similar suppressed maxima in the low 30s amid above-average rainfall, consistent with climatological expectations for an active monsoon trough. Updated model runs and IMD briefings on August 22–23 will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,413结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETActive southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thundershowers, represent the main driver keeping Lucknow's August 23 maximum temperatures in the narrow 31–33 °C range favored by traders. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple numerical models project an overcast sky with scattered rain or storms, limiting surface heating and aligning closely with the market-implied probabilities of 35 % for 32 °C, 25 % for 31 °C, and 22.5 % for 33 °C. Recent days have shown similar suppressed maxima in the low 30s amid above-average rainfall, consistent with climatological expectations for an active monsoon trough. Updated model runs and IMD briefings on August 22–23 will provide the final observational inputs for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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