Recent forecasts from global models indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into Moscow, limiting the September 8 maximum to the 13–15 °C range amid variable cloud cover and light winds. Daytime heating will depend on the timing of any clearing, with partial high clouds reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures below seasonal norms of roughly 18 °C. Ensemble spreads in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight on September 7 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日莫斯科最高气温？
9月8日莫斯科最高气温？
14°C 36%
15°C 28%
13°C 19%
12°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
7°C或以下
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
4%
12°C
9%
13°C
19%
14°C
36%
15°C
28%
16°C
8%
17°C或以上
4%
14°C 36%
15°C 28%
13°C 19%
12°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-09-08
7°C或以下
$172 交易量
1%
8°C
$115 交易量
<1%
9°C
$115 交易量
<1%
10°C
$75 交易量
3%
11°C
$0 交易量
4%
12°C
$15 交易量
9%
13°C
$5 交易量
19%
14°C
$31 交易量
36%
15°C
$0 交易量
28%
16°C
$2 交易量
8%
17°C或以上
$51 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into Moscow, limiting the September 8 maximum to the 13–15 °C range amid variable cloud cover and light winds. Daytime heating will depend on the timing of any clearing, with partial high clouds reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures below seasonal norms of roughly 18 °C. Ensemble spreads in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight on September 7 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$581结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from global models indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into Moscow, limiting the September 8 maximum to the 13–15 °C range amid variable cloud cover and light winds. Daytime heating will depend on the timing of any clearing, with partial high clouds reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures below seasonal norms of roughly 18 °C. Ensemble spreads in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight on September 7 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$581结束日期
2026-09-08市场开放时间
Sep 6, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from global models indicate a northwest flow advecting cooler maritime air into Moscow, limiting the September 8 maximum to the 13–15 °C range amid variable cloud cover and light winds. Daytime heating will depend on the timing of any clearing, with partial high clouds reducing solar insolation and keeping surface temperatures below seasonal norms of roughly 18 °C. Ensemble spreads in the latest GFS and ECMWF runs highlight sensitivity to exact cloud fraction and boundary-layer mixing, which explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 14 °C. Updated model guidance expected overnight on September 7 will likely narrow the range ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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